tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33401702757617930172024-03-05T05:37:37.319+00:00Clare's diaryCatford, Lewisham, London, the world...Clare Griffithshttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13851313189672481904noreply@blogger.comBlogger135125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3340170275761793017.post-89443760451713426062016-11-11T13:24:00.001+00:002016-11-11T13:24:51.266+00:00Catford's first million pound house<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgGywTstSPE-9A2jAsfYZrO5GbjveVCL8m38Obu_MyFHHoE5eJZVKm55GATxcLTjRdYFGQlEaMKChzbuJQm11gXHC-alx5cqPP1zFF5XiScprGHpSZa6Mo1XYzIGY3xEZWYn8NBj1DdTUSk/s1600/Screen+Shot+2016-11-11+at+13.11.36.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="285" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgGywTstSPE-9A2jAsfYZrO5GbjveVCL8m38Obu_MyFHHoE5eJZVKm55GATxcLTjRdYFGQlEaMKChzbuJQm11gXHC-alx5cqPP1zFF5XiScprGHpSZa6Mo1XYzIGY3xEZWYn8NBj1DdTUSk/s320/Screen+Shot+2016-11-11+at+13.11.36.png" width="320" /></a></div>
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I have been speculating for a while that this was coming, but I think this is the first... And how. Catford now has million pound homes, with this one <a href="http://www.zoopla.co.uk/property/46-bromley-road/london/se6-2tp/20940994" target="_blank">selling for a whopping £1.2 million</a> on 26 August 2016.<br />
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It's towards the town centre and I speculate that it might not remain a single home for long. One to keep an eye on.<br />
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I don't think it will be too long before we see prices as high as this for the larger houses on the various estates around Catford.<br />
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg45tR3oFy1f34_-YdnfscuEaLtuBofvaMPHn733Ary4N9PQa4tFXaQYLYwwAlHZwhnMdCOS_9QATyEz8_RlXAImqrdr04MfceqtFJRKO-k8gROHjCYZ6y0Uyph1IkDWm4L0MzdhG6LRCFC/s1600/Screen+Shot+2016-11-11+at+13.19.34.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="320" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg45tR3oFy1f34_-YdnfscuEaLtuBofvaMPHn733Ary4N9PQa4tFXaQYLYwwAlHZwhnMdCOS_9QATyEz8_RlXAImqrdr04MfceqtFJRKO-k8gROHjCYZ6y0Uyph1IkDWm4L0MzdhG6LRCFC/s320/Screen+Shot+2016-11-11+at+13.19.34.png" width="315" /></a></div>
<a href="http://www.rightmove.co.uk/property-for-sale/property-43373214.html" target="_blank">This house</a>, on the Corbett estate, was on for offers over £1m and is listed as sold STC on Rightmove.<br />
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiJ-hDjGSH6dJ4F1VIvQGKVKjJL1JJ5gcOcbE-oB3D73hLNviQv0emPwlMPc6ozE644hmzlZ1xdpuBtyXX-tvxrf5IXwfxyttwjyqaCnXILhEAZr0uYj3ilZCEagSSakDAhm71Adxr5MOO7/s1600/Screen+Shot+2016-11-11+at+13.20.40.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="320" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiJ-hDjGSH6dJ4F1VIvQGKVKjJL1JJ5gcOcbE-oB3D73hLNviQv0emPwlMPc6ozE644hmzlZ1xdpuBtyXX-tvxrf5IXwfxyttwjyqaCnXILhEAZr0uYj3ilZCEagSSakDAhm71Adxr5MOO7/s320/Screen+Shot+2016-11-11+at+13.20.40.png" width="317" /></a></div>
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And this <a href="http://www.rightmove.co.uk/property-for-sale/property-62949266.html" target="_blank">9 bedroom house</a> in the centre of Catford is on for £999,995. That £5 makes all the difference.<br />
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Twenty years ago you could pick up a house in Catford for around £60-70k, with these larger ones setting you back a bit more, but probably around £100k. Even ten years ago places cost less than half what they are selling for now. What was once an affordable area for families is no longer. Surely this level of increase can't be sustained?<br />
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<br />Clare Griffithshttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13851313189672481904noreply@blogger.com2tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3340170275761793017.post-78405204789894759672016-07-13T14:51:00.002+01:002016-07-14T11:10:06.272+01:00Weekday morning train service from Hither Green from September 2016<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgwf2YD27F0Rs2Ryv-nmID2OZS7VX4iAfHyFK51-cY1-xuPyY-qVCrrfDzCPWACMsXbOefZK19O4zBE9CEY022HxJ7pwFl_aNCbnvF-QTFUKw8EEjMj7UkFvuqb5jrpn9csLFFcVnArBZK7/s1600/8574820289_cc376ae3cb_o.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="212" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgwf2YD27F0Rs2Ryv-nmID2OZS7VX4iAfHyFK51-cY1-xuPyY-qVCrrfDzCPWACMsXbOefZK19O4zBE9CEY022HxJ7pwFl_aNCbnvF-QTFUKw8EEjMj7UkFvuqb5jrpn9csLFFcVnArBZK7/s320/8574820289_cc376ae3cb_o.jpg" width="320" /></a></div>
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<span style="font-size: normal;"><span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;"><br /></span></span>
<span style="font-size: normal;"><span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: normal;"><span style="font-family: inherit;">About 18 months go I posted about the <a href="http://clogsilk.blogspot.co.uk/2014/12/train-services-from-hither-green-as-of.html" target="_blank">changes to trains from Hither Green</a> as a result of the <a href="http://www.thameslinkprogramme.co.uk/" target="_blank">Thameslink Programme</a>.</span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: normal;"><span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: normal;"><span style="font-family: inherit;"><br /></span></span></span></span>
<span style="font-size: normal;"><span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: normal;"><span style="font-family: inherit;">These changes are about to come to an end and a new timetable will be in place from the beginning of September. The main change is that trains to Cannon Street will no longer stop at London Bridge and trains to Charing Cross/Waterloo East will begin to stop at London Bridge again.</span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: normal;"><span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: normal;"><span style="font-family: inherit;"><br /></span></span></span></span><span style="font-size: normal;">
</span><span style="font-size: normal;"><span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: normal;"><span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="font-size: normal;">There have been some minor tweaks to the timetable, but no massive contingency to deal with this change, at least not from Hither Green anyway. Below is a list of the trains to Charing Cross, Cannon <span style="font-size: normal;">Street and Blackfriars in the morning peak:</span></span></span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: small;"><span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: normal;"><span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="font-size: normal;"><span style="font-family: inherit;"><br /></span></span><span style="font-size: normal;">
</span></span></span></span></span><br />
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-size: small;"><span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: normal;"><span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="font-size: normal;"><span style="font-family: inherit;"><b>Hither Green to Charing Cross (all call at London Bridge)</b></span></span></span></span></span></span></div>
<span style="font-size: small;"><span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: normal;"><span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="font-size: normal;"><span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="font-size: normal;"><br /></span></span></span></span></span></span></span>
<br />
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-size: small;"><span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: normal;"><span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="font-size: normal;"><span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="font-size: normal;">06:56 Hither Green
[HGR] Platform 5 London Charing
Cross [CHX] Platform 2 07:18</span></span></span></span></span></span></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-size: small;"><span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: normal;"><span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="font-size: normal;"><span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="font-size: normal;">06:58 Hither Green
[HGR] Platform 3 London Charing
Cross [CHX] Platform 5 07:26 </span></span></span></span></span></span></span>
</div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-size: small;"><span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: normal;"><span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="font-size: normal;"><span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="font-size: normal;">07:16 Hither Green
[HGR] Platform 5 London Charing
Cross [CHX] Platform 1 07:40 </span></span></span></span></span></span></span></div>
<span style="font-size: small;"><span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: normal;"><span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="font-size: normal;"><span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="font-size: normal;">07:19 Hither Green
[HGR] Platform 3 London Charing
Cross [CHX] Platform 6 07:47
</span></span></span></span></span></span></span><br />
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-size: small;"><span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: normal;"><span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="font-size: normal;"><span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="font-size: normal;">07:36 Hither Green
[HGR] Platform 5 London Charing
Cross [CHX] Platform 3 08:00</span></span></span></span></span></span></span>
</div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-size: small;"><span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: normal;"><span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="font-size: normal;"><span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="font-size: normal;">07:40 Hither Green
[HGR] Platform 3 London Charing
Cross [CHX] Platform 2 08:04</span></span></span></span></span></span></span>
</div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-size: small;"><span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: normal;"><span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="font-size: normal;"><span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="font-size: normal;">08:02 Hither Green
[HGR] Platform 5 London Charing
Cross [CHX] Platform 3 08:27</span></span></span></span></span></span></span>
</div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-size: small;"><span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: normal;"><span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="font-size: normal;"><span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="font-size: normal;">08:15 Hither Green
[HGR] Platform 5 London Charing
Cross [CHX] Platform 1 08:39</span></span></span></span></span></span></span>
</div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-size: small;"><span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: normal;"><span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="font-size: normal;"><span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="font-size: normal;">08:24 Hither Green
[HGR] Platform 5 London Charing
Cross [CHX] Platform 2 08:47</span></span></span></span></span></span></span>
</div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-size: small;"><span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: normal;"><span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="font-size: normal;"><span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="font-size: normal;">08:35 Hither Green
[HGR] Platform 5 London Charing
Cross [CHX] Platform 3 08:59</span></span></span></span></span></span></span>
</div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-size: small;"><span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: normal;"><span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="font-size: normal;"><span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="font-size: normal;">08:38 Hither Green
[HGR] Platform 3 London Charing
Cross [CHX] Platform 1 09:07</span></span></span></span></span></span></span>
</div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-size: small;"><span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: normal;"><span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="font-size: normal;"><span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="font-size: normal;">08:42 Hither Green
[HGR] Platform 5 London Charing
Cross [CHX] Platform 5 09:09</span></span></span></span></span></span></span>
</div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-size: small;"><span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: normal;"><span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="font-size: normal;"><span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="font-size: normal;">08:55 Hither Green
[HGR] Platform 5 London Charing
Cross [CHX] Platform 5 09:21</span></span></span></span></span></span></span>
</div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-size: small;"><span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: normal;"><span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="font-size: normal;"><span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="font-size: normal;">09:00 Hither Green
[HGR] Platform 3 London Charing
Cross [CHX] Platform 3 09:28</span></span></span></span></span></span></span>
</div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-size: small;"><span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: normal;"><span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="font-size: normal;"><span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="font-size: normal;">09:10 Hither Green
[HGR] Platform 3 London Charing
Cross [CHX] Platform 2 09:33</span></span></span></span></span></span></span>
</div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-size: small;"><span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: normal;"><span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="font-size: normal;"><span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="font-size: normal;">09:17 Hither Green
[HGR] Platform 5 London Charing
Cross [CHX] Platform 1 09:44</span></span></span></span></span></span></span>
</div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-size: small;"><span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: normal;"><span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="font-size: normal;"><span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="font-size: normal;">09:36 Hither Green
[HGR] Platform 3 London Charing
Cross [CHX] Platform 5 10:01</span></span></span></span></span></span></span>
</div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-size: small;"><span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: normal;"><span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="font-size: normal;"><span style="font-family: inherit;"><br /></span></span></span></span></span></span></div>
<span style="font-size: small;"><span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: normal;"><span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="font-size: normal;"><span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="font-size: normal;">
</span></span></span></span></span></span></span><br />
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-size: small;"><span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: normal;"><span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="font-size: normal;"><span style="font-family: inherit;"><b><span style="font-size: normal;">Hither Green to Cannon Street (do not call at London Bridge)</span></b></span></span></span></span></span></span></div>
<span style="font-size: small;"><span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: normal;"><span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="font-size: normal;"><span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="font-size: normal;">
</span></span></span></span></span></span></span><br />
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-size: small;"><span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: normal;"><span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="font-size: normal;"><span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="font-size: normal;"><br /></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></div>
<span style="font-size: small;"><span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: normal;"><span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="font-size: normal;"><span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="font-size: normal;">
</span></span></span></span></span></span></span><br />
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-size: small;"><span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: normal;"><span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="font-size: normal;"><span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="font-size: normal;">07:06 Hither Green
[HGR] Platform 3 London Cannon
Street [CST] Platform 1 07:24 </span></span></span></span></span></span></span>
</div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-size: small;"><span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: normal;"><span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="font-size: normal;"><span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="font-size: normal;">07:11 Hither Green
[HGR] Platform 5 London Cannon
Street [CST] Platform 2 07:33</span></span></span></span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: small;"><span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: normal;"><span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="font-size: normal;"><span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="font-size: normal;">07:32 Hither Green
[HGR] Platform 5 London Cannon
Street [CST] Platform 4 07:55</span></span></span></span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: small;"><span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: normal;"><span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="font-size: normal;"><span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="font-size: normal;">07:49 Hither Green
[HGR] Platform 3 London Cannon
Street [CST] Platform 3 08:09</span></span></span></span></span></span></span>
</div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-size: small;"><span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: normal;"><span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="font-size: normal;"><span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="font-size: normal;">07:53 Hither Green
[HGR] Platform 5 London Cannon
Street [CST] Platform 5 08:19</span></span></span></span></span></span></span>
</div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-size: small;"><span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: normal;"><span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="font-size: normal;"><span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="font-size: normal;">08:12 Hither Green
[HGR] Platform 5 London Cannon
Street [CST] Platform 1 08:36</span></span></span></span></span></span></span>
</div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-size: small;"><span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: normal;"><span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="font-size: normal;"><span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="font-size: normal;">08:29 Hither Green
[HGR] Platform 3 London Cannon
Street [CST] Platform 7 08:48</span></span></span></span></span></span></span>
</div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-size: small;"><span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: normal;"><span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="font-size: normal;"><span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="font-size: normal;">08:32 Hither Green
[HGR] Platform 5 London Cannon
Street [CST] Platform 4 08:55</span></span></span></span></span></span></span>
</div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-size: small;"><span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: normal;"><span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="font-size: normal;"><span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="font-size: normal;">08:50 Hither Green
[HGR] Platform 5 London Cannon
Street [CST] Platform 3 09:15</span></span></span></span></span></span></span>
</div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-size: small;"><span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: normal;"><span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="font-size: normal;"><span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="font-size: normal;">09:04 Hither Green
[HGR] Platform 5 London Cannon
Street [CST] Platform 5 09:27</span></span></span></span></span></span></span>
</div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-size: small;"><span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: normal;"><span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="font-size: normal;"><span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="font-size: normal;">09:19 Hither Green
[HGR] Platform 3 London Cannon
Street [CST] Platform 6 09:42</span></span></span></span></span></span></span>
</div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-size: small;"><span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: normal;"><span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="font-size: normal;"><span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="font-size: normal;">09:26 Hither Green
[HGR] Platform 5 London Cannon
Street [CST] Platform 7 09:50</span></span></span></span></span></span></span>
</div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-size: small;"><span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: normal;"><span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="font-size: normal;"><span style="font-family: inherit;"><br /></span></span></span></span></span></span></div>
<span style="font-size: small;"><span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: normal;"><span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="font-size: normal;"><span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="font-size: normal;">
</span></span></span></span></span></span></span><br />
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-size: small;"><span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: normal;"><span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="font-size: normal;"><span style="font-family: inherit;"><b><span style="font-size: normal;">Hither Green to Blackfriars</span></b></span></span></span></span></span></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-size: small;"><span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: normal;"><span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="font-size: normal;"><span style="font-family: inherit;"><br /></span></span></span></span></span></span></div>
<span style="font-size: small;"><span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: normal;"><span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="font-size: normal;"><span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="font-size: normal;">
</span></span></span></span></span></span></span><br />
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-size: small;"><span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: normal;"><span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="font-size: normal;"><span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="font-size: normal;">07:59 Hither Green
[HGR] Platform 3 London
Blackfriars [BFR] Platform 3 08:27</span></span></span></span></span></span></span></div>
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[HGR] Platform 3 London
Blackfriars [BFR] Platform 3 08:48</span></span></span></span></span></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-size: normal;"><span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: normal;"><span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="font-size: normal;">There are some minor tweaks to departure times compared with the current timetable. The 08:35 to Charing Cross appears to be a new service, as is the 09:00. Cannon Street loses the 07:28 and gains</span><span style="font-size: normal;"> the 08:29. There are still some alarming gaps - the biggest being 22 minutes between services to London Bridge and Charing Cross between 07:40 and 08:02 - this is especially worrying as these trains will now have London Bridge passengers who previously would have been getting the Cannon Street trains. There are two trains to Cannon Street and one to Blackfriars in that gap, so hopefully they will pick up some of the capacity...</span></span></span></span></span><br />
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<span style="font-size: normal;"><span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: normal;"><span style="font-family: inherit;">Incidentally I got this information from the national rail website. The Thameslink Programme website itself has <a href="http://www.thameslinkprogramme.co.uk/august-2016-changes-services" target="_blank">limited detail</a> and the <a href="http://www.southeasternrailway.co.uk/your-journey/about-thameslink-programme/august-2016/" target="_blank">timetables</a> on the southeastern site don't precisely match these times - a few are a minute out on the departure time, but I'm trusting the NR site.</span></span></span></span><br />
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<span style="font-size: normal;"><span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: normal;"><span style="font-family: inherit;">In the week beginning Monday 29 August there will be <a href="http://www.southeasternrailway.co.uk/your-journey/about-thameslink-programme/august-2016/" target="_blank">no Cannon Street services until 2 September,</a> so I hope you aren't planning to be working in town that week...</span></span></span></span><br />
<br />Clare Griffithshttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13851313189672481904noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3340170275761793017.post-91358042036593709172016-06-26T15:56:00.002+01:002016-06-28T09:27:00.942+01:00Lies, damned lies and bad statistics: analysis of the EU referendum result has been mostly terrible<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
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I'm still recovering from the shock of Thursday's EU referendum vote, and am becoming increasingly irritated at the level of the debate since the result was known on Friday - some of the statistical (let alone political) analysis of the result has been abysmal, betraying individual prejudices very nicely indeed. Before I launch into mine, I admit straight off that this post comes from my perspective as someone strongly in favour of remain, and needs to be read with that in mind.</div>
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This post is also not about the standard of debate during the campaign. Lots has been written about that, and <a href="https://fullfact.org/europe/" target="_blank">Full Fact</a> have done an excellent job in debunking the myths, including those in the picture above.</div>
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I'm going to take some of the things I've seen and heard since the referendum and give my perspective on each one, explaining why it's at best misleading and at worst downright nonsense, from a statistical perspective. I'll try to keep to that, but personal opinion will inevitably crop up.<br />
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<b>1. "We must accept the (overwhelming) view of the British people"</b><br />
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I've heard this bandied about by politicians more than once since Friday and it's becoming increasingly irritating. In fact 51.9 % of people voted for the UK to leave the EU. In no way is that "overwhelming". Yes, it's the result of the referendum and politicians have to abide by it, but talk of acceptance is to deny the existence of the 16 million people who voted for the UK to remain. Our voices need to be heard too.<br />
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<b>2. "But only 37.4% of people voted leave so the result can't be valid"</b><br />
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Irritating though it is that almost 13 million people didn't vote in the election, the result is the result. You could equally argue that only 34.7% of people voted remain. The fact is that you can't say anything about the opinions of the people that didn't vote. We simply don't know what their preference is. No vote, no say.<br />
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<b>3. "Scotland voted to remain in the EU"</b><br />
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Nicola Sturgeon has been saying this a lot. I don't blame her (much). It suits her narrative and the aim of her party, which is of course to gain independence for Scotland. However, the vote was not on whether or not Scotland should remain in the EU, it was on whether the UK should remain in the EU. Sixty-two percent of people in Scotland voted for <b>the UK</b> to remain within the EU, with Scotland as a part of that larger entity. This is a subtle but important distinction. If Scotland is to become part of the EU as an independent country, a fair few things need to happen, one of which is that a second Scottish referendum votes in favour of leaving the UK. You could argue that this time the SNP would get what they want out of this, but there is still a significant proportion of people in Scotland who want to stay in the UK, and also (judging by the results of the referendum) a significant proportion who want the UK to leave the EU. Throw all this into the mix and nothing is certain.<br />
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By the way, Sturgeon is not the only person to make this mistake and talk of areas voting to leave or remain in the EU. I think she does it knowingly, others are not so bright. <br />
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<b>4. "London should declare independence from the rest of England and stay in the EU"</b><br />
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Firstly the vote was a national vote, about what the UK as a whole should do, so it certainly doesn't follow that because 59.9% of Londoners voted for the UK to remain that 59.9% of them would vote for London to become an independent city state. Secondly, there were plenty of people in London who voted leave, over 1.5 million of them in fact. Thirdly, London itself was split - 5 boroughs voted a majority leave. There's clearly more going on than meets the eye. I'll save my views on Little London triumphalism for another day.<br />
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<b>5. "Old people have screwed over the young/Cosmopolitan lefties are out of touch with everyone else"</b><br />
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<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-lang="en">
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Preference for Brexit linked to age, regardless of GE 2015 vote (UKIP the exception) <a href="https://t.co/3IpjvVuJx6">https://t.co/3IpjvVuJx6</a> <a href="https://t.co/ffTSBGOzlu">pic.twitter.com/ffTSBGOzlu</a></div>
— YouGov (@YouGov) <a href="https://twitter.com/YouGov/status/745214826352353280">June 21, 2016</a></blockquote>
When you go into the polling booth the only information you give is what is on the voting slip. In this case that was a simple leave/remain choice. You don't provide any demographic data, or anything about your job, voting intentions or anything else. All of the stories about how different age groups etc voted are either based on polls or, <a href="http://www.theguardian.com/politics/ng-interactive/2016/jun/23/eu-referendum-live-results-and-analysis" target="_blank">as in these Guardian charts</a>, on characteristics of areas rather than of individuals. There are dangers with both of these analysis methods, and it's just not conceivable that all 16 million remainers are lefty urbanites, any more than all 17 million leavers are crabby old thickos. At best some of this analysis is misguided, at worst it's downright offensive.<br />
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<b>6. "Places that voted leave have no right to ask for their funding to be protected."</b><br />
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a. Places didn't vote to leave or to remain - as I've said a couple of times earlier in this post this was a national vote, with the areas being used as a convenient way to count up the votes. Another option might have been to send all the boxes up to Manchester town hall and count them there. Frankly we might have heard less place-based nonsense if they had been.<br />
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b. I see nothing wrong in elected officials in areas that are set to lose out because of the loss of EU money attempting seek assurances that their regeneration plans be protected. I'd do the same in their position.<br />
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c. Many of these places had no greater vote for leave over remain than remain's lead over leave in London. For example, 43.5% of Cornwall residents voted for remain. It cannot be the case that a split like that condemns that whole area any more than the 60/40 remain/leave vote in London means all Londoners are brilliant right-thinking individuals.<br />
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Cornwall - you vote to leave the EU - now you bleat about losing EU funding <a href="https://t.co/hac3GoGn4q">https://t.co/hac3GoGn4q</a></div>
— Darren Johnson (@DarrenJohnson66) <a href="https://twitter.com/DarrenJohnson66/status/746645500158414848">June 25, 2016</a></blockquote>
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<b>Good and bad data visualisation</b><br />
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I've run through some of the things that have irritated me in the analysis of the referendum result. There's no doubt that poor statistical literacy and bad data visualisation have contributed to that. Presenting the results as "first past the post"-type results by area has led to some really misleading conclusions.<br />
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This regional-level analysis (from the BBC but it could have been from anywhere as everyone has been presenting the results like this) masks big variations at sub-regional level and has been the fuel to the fire for nonsense graphics like this:<br />
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<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-lang="en">
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<a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/Brexit?src=hash">#Brexit</a> <a href="https://t.co/jOpLBg9dn5">pic.twitter.com/jOpLBg9dn5</a></div>
— Louis Doré (@LouisAlexDore) <a href="https://twitter.com/LouisAlexDore/status/746325151743086592">June 24, 2016</a></blockquote>
<script async="" charset="utf-8" src="//platform.twitter.com/widgets.js"></script><br />
I mean, seriously. Over 2,500 retweets and rising, *come on* people.<br />
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This graphic from the BBC shows the local authority breakdowns that make it clear why that little gif showing London, Scotland and Northern Ireland letting the rest of the UK leave the EU by themselves is nonsensical. Both London and Northern Ireland had areas with a majority of leave votes. <br />
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However, because this map presents the results for each local authority area as either majority leave or majority remain it's also misleading. It's this kind of presentation that leads the mind to think that everyone in those areas is either for one side or the other. In fact the picture is much more subtle than that. This Guardian graphic goes some way to addressing the problem:<br />
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It divides leave/remain areas into those with a >15% majority and the rest, but it still uses a blue/yellow dichotomy that is unhelpful. That idea of showing areas as having equal population size is interesting, and people seem to like it, but that in itself is misleading.<br />
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Another way of presenting the same information comes from <a href="http://www.viewsoftheworld.net/?p=4848" target="_blank">Views of the World</a>.<br />
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This map shows areas resized according to population size. I quite like this, although it does have the tendency to make London look like a giant boil in the south east. I still don't like the leave/remain dichotomy presented like this. I think it would be better to present either the percentage leave or the percentage remain by area. This gets away from the idea that whole areas plumped one way or the other and allows for the fact that, for example, Greenwich's remain percentage (55.6) was closer to Cornwall's (43.5) than it was to Lewisham's (69.9) yet all these maps would lead you to lump Lewisham and Greenwich together in cosmopolitan London and leave Cornwall out in the cold (see point 6 above).<br />
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The BBC did do a map of percentage remain. Unfortunately the colour scheme means it looks rather insipid.<br />
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London doesn't stand out as being quite so different now.... (admittedly this is partly because this is a traditional map rather than a cartogram), and you can see there are loads of areas being condemned as racist strongholds that had 40-49% votes for remain.)<br />
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<b>Top 20s</b><br />
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This graphic from the BBC shows the 20 areas with the highest remain vote share.<br />
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And this the 20 with the highest leave:<br />
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Those crowing about cosmopolitan London might like to note that areas in London appear within both these lists. London as a city is as divided as the country.<br />
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<b>A footnote: Divided London?</b><br />
Newham and Tower Hamlets are also interesting cases. They have similar levels of poverty and deprivation, yet their votes in this referendum are quite different. Tower Hamlets voted 32.5% leave, 67.5% remain, whereas Newham voted 47.2% leave, 52.8% remain. Both are lumped together as "remain" areas by the traditional analysis methods, but there's clearly something going on here that makes them different. Lewisham and Greenwich are also usually seen as pretty similar in most area classifications, but there's a 14 percentage point difference in their remain vote. I'd prefer to see these and other differences explored a little further rather than wasting any more time crowing about how London is so different to the rest of the country.<br />
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Edited to add: This tweet from Hidden London shows the extent of the divide clearly, mapping the remain vote share across the capital:<br />
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<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-lang="en">
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London voted strongly for Remain but it was still a divided city. <a href="https://t.co/76ipwiK2on">pic.twitter.com/76ipwiK2on</a></div>
— Hidden London (@hidden_london) <a href="https://twitter.com/hidden_london/status/746289464864030720">June 24, 2016</a></blockquote>
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<br />Clare Griffithshttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13851313189672481904noreply@blogger.com12tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3340170275761793017.post-28556443326310830962016-02-17T16:34:00.002+00:002016-02-23T11:31:57.370+00:00Catford Bridge Tavern latest<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
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After not much activity for a while, a planning application has been submitted for the Catford Bridge Tavern and it is due to be heard on <a href="http://councilmeetings.lewisham.gov.uk/ieListDocuments.aspx?CId=183&MId=3922" target="_blank">Thursday 18th February</a>.<br />
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The proposal has been submitted on behalf of the current leaseholders, Solitaire, and is as follows:<br />
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<div data-canvas-width="34.44" style="left: 549px; top: 400.642px; transform: scaleX(0.99971);">
<span style="font-size: small;"><span style="font-family: inherit;">The construction of a single storey extension with roof terrace at lower ground level round the back by the station. and a roof extension at second floor level, also at the back. Crucially the proposal also ask for approval to convert the upper floors from pub use (class A4) to residential (class C3). The upper floors haven't been open to the public in all the time I've known the pub, so I don't know when they were last used as part of the pub. The planned extension would increase the available pub space at lower ground floor level. The application also says that the plan is to use the same supplier of roof tiles as supplied the existing tiles, and that those that survived the fire would be reused.</span></span><br />
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<span style="font-size: small;"><span style="font-family: inherit;">The proposals would mean 1 one bed and 5 two bed flats would be built, with rooflights in the rear slope. Cycle storage would be provided. The building is of course locally listed and has Article 4 protection which means there are no permitted development rights. The key thing here is that it is my reading of the situation that the pub will not be developed without the flats being approved, because it isn't thought to be economically viable. An application to convert the upstairs into flats has been turned down once but this was when the proposal was to convert the downstairs into retail. Now the plan is to keep the pub downstairs, so this may mean it will be approved, but this isn't certain because of the problems that ensue with noise complaints when people move into flats built near pubs (see the Pelton Arms in Greenwich for a recent example...) The noise issue is addressed in the application and it concludes by saying that officers are satisfied that enough is being proposed to mean that there would not be an impact on the ability to operate as a pub with residential accommodation above.</span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: small;"><span style="font-family: inherit;"><br />Interestingly the proposal is also to remove the parking spaces outside the pub and widen the pavement, in my opinion a good thing.</span></span><br />
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<span style="font-size: small;"><span style="font-family: inherit;">The report, to my reading, seems to be recommending approval. If you want to, you can probably go along and see for yourself - the meeting starts at 7:30pm at the town hall.</span></span><br />
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Update: The application was approved at the planning meeting,<br />
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<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-lang="en">
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GLAD Planning Committee has approved proposals for the <a href="https://twitter.com/CBTavern">@CBTavern</a>, <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/LewishamCouncil?src=hash">#LewishamCouncil</a> supporting new local businesses. <a href="https://t.co/DT0Op6yqK3">pic.twitter.com/DT0Op6yqK3</a></div>
— James-J Walsh (@JamesJWalsh) <a href="https://twitter.com/JamesJWalsh/status/700434149702819840">February 18, 2016</a></blockquote>
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<br />Clare Griffithshttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13851313189672481904noreply@blogger.com3tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3340170275761793017.post-4768328987531422862015-12-30T15:47:00.000+00:002015-12-30T15:47:10.127+00:00Top posts of 2015This shouldn't take long, I've only posted 13 times in 2015 (and five of those were in January...).<br />
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13. <a href="http://clogsilk.blogspot.co.uk/2015/12/lewisham-council-advertises-for-change.html" target="_blank">Lewisham Council advertises for "Change and Innovation Manager"</a>, 29 December 2015, 207 views. Not surprising that this only has 207 views given that I posted it yesterday... In fact with 207 views in under 24 hours I have high hopes for this post's future... ;)<br />
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12. <a href="http://clogsilk.blogspot.co.uk/2015/09/catfords-poo-patrol-take-matters-into.html" target="_blank">Catford's "poo patrol" take matters into their own hands</a>, 9 September 2015, 320 views. Perhaps people aren't all that interested in poo after all.<br />
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11. <a href="http://clogsilk.blogspot.co.uk/2015/01/update-on-safer-brownhill-road-campaign.html" target="_blank">Update on the Safer Brownhill Road campaign</a>, 21 January 2015, 360 views. This deserves more attention - a local resident's campaign to get Transport for London (TfL) to install a safe road crossing at the junction of Torridon Road and Brownhill Road in the wake of a particularly bad crash on Brownhill Road where a student was sadly killed. The <a href="https://www.facebook.com/profile.php?id=100004487115477&fref=ts" target="_blank">campaign continues</a> and TfL are currently in the process of carrying out an assessment of the site. <br />
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10. <a href="http://clogsilk.blogspot.co.uk/2015/02/aces-bar-applies-for-change-of-use.html" target="_blank">Ace's Bar applies for change of use</a>, 26 February 2015, 416 views. Poor old Ace's Bar. It didn't get its change of use and is currently closed. Maybe £2.50 pints of Carling just aren't very Corbett, dahling.<br />
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9. <a href="http://clogsilk.blogspot.co.uk/2015/09/was-labours-purge-worth-it.html" target="_blank">Was Labour's purge worth it?</a>, 11 September 2015, 570 views. No.<br />
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8. <a href="http://clogsilk.blogspot.co.uk/2015/01/more-through-trains-from-catford-to.html" target="_blank">More through trains from Catford to Kentish Town are coming!</a>, 22 January 2015, 662 views. Not any time soon mind you.<br />
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7. <a href="http://clogsilk.blogspot.co.uk/2015/03/catford-bridge-tavern-fire-some.html" target="_blank">Catford Bridge Tavern fire - some pictures and some speculation on what the future holds</a>, 11 March 2015, 757 views. The CBT going up in flames was one of the big stories in Catford in early 2015. The roof and a large part of the upstairs was destroyed by the fire and there was plenty of speculation about both the causes and the consequences. Towards the end of the year the company that owns the pub, Solitaire Limited, <a href="http://www.catfordtavern.com/" target="_blank">announced</a> that they will be applying for permission to redevelop the site, restoring the building and opening at the end of 2016. We live in hope... <br />
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6. <a href="http://clogsilk.blogspot.co.uk/2015/12/free-travel-on-national-rail-for-under.html" target="_blank">Free travel on national rail for under 11s - beware the small print!</a>, 4 December 2015, 816 views. I wrote this when I realised that Boris's announcement that free travel on national rail for under 11s wasn't quite what it first seemed. I'm still banging on about it because I think many parents are going to get caught out by the fact they <a href="https://tfl.gov.uk/campaign/new-fares?cid=newfares#on-this-page-9" target="_blank">need an Oyster Zip card</a> for the children to be able to take advantage of this. Tell your friends!<br />
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5. <a href="http://clogsilk.blogspot.co.uk/2015/01/dont-mention-prefabs-lewisham-council.html" target="_blank">Don't mention the prefabs - Lewisham Council plans new "pop up" housing</a>, 19 January 2015, 924 views. The new "pop up housing" is coming along. In the meantime, Excalibur is left to rot.<br />
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4. <a href="http://clogsilk.blogspot.co.uk/2015/01/lewishams-borough-wide-20mph-plans-good.html" target="_blank">Lewisham's borough-wide 20mph plans - a good news update</a>, 7 January 2015, 941 views. The good news that Lewisham are continuing to press ahead with implementing borough-wide 20mph.<br />
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3. <a href="http://clogsilk.blogspot.co.uk/2015/01/cleverlys-bakerloo-bungle.html" target="_blank">Cleverly's Bakerloo bungle...</a>, 14 January 2015, 957 views. Unfortunately, despite the fact that extending the Bakerloo line to Hayes would actually speed up journey times for residents of the Hayes area (the subject of this post), Bromley council refused to back it and towards the end of the year TfL announced that the extension would be going ahead, but <a href="http://content.tfl.gov.uk/board-20151217-pt1-item05-commissioner-report.pdf" target="_blank">only as far as Lewisham</a>. Gutted doesn't quite cover it.<br />
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2. <a href="http://clogsilk.blogspot.co.uk/2015/05/pollution-monitoring-in-catford-and.html" target="_blank">Pollution monitoring in Catford and Hither Green - some shocking results</a>, 25 May 2015, 1,057 views. The results of a frankly shocking piece of work I undertook with some friends at the beginning of 2015 showing that all of the Corbett and Culverley Green estates in Catford have moderate or worse air pollution. Unfortunately the council remains entirely uninterested in stopping rat running through the estates.<br />
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1. <a href="http://clogsilk.blogspot.co.uk/2015/04/the-general-election-in-lewisham-east.html" target="_blank">The General Election in Lewisham East</a>, 8 April 2015, 1,280 views. Everyone loves an election. Shame about the result nationally. Still, <a href="http://www.heidialexander.org.uk/" target="_blank">Heidi did well anyway</a>, she's now Shadow Secretary of State for Health.<br />
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A busy year despite the small number of posts. Bring on 2016. <br />
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<span class="PXLWASD-F-e"></span>Clare Griffithshttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13851313189672481904noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3340170275761793017.post-21218645488615924122015-12-29T17:00:00.000+00:002015-12-29T17:00:21.040+00:00Lewisham Council advertises for "Change and Innovation Manager"<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
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<a href="https://www.civilservicejobs.service.gov.uk/csr/jobs.cgi?jcode=1477972" target="_blank">This job</a> dropped into my inbox on Christmas Eve, courtesy of the Civil Service jobs search website email updates and it immediately caught my eye...<br />
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It's a secondment to Lewisham Council from Whitehall - the job description is quite short so I've reproduced it below:<br />
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"An important role, this is an opportunity to lead complex projects, work with senior members of the organisation, and be at the forefront of issues facing local Government. These roles will play an important part in the overall success of the organisation: To lead complex organisational redesign projects and be responsible for achieving the successful delivery of £85m savings via the Lewisham Future Programme, To lead on and effectively manage multi-disciplinary and multiple project teams to deliver organisational and cultural change across the Council. To advise Heads of Service, Executive Directors and Members and support the Head of Technology & Change to deliver the objectives of the Lewisham Future Programme."<br />
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Salary £50,000pa for two years.<br />
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If you're an existing civil servant who fancies a challenge, you have until 18 January to get your application in.Clare Griffithshttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13851313189672481904noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3340170275761793017.post-60127310262478316442015-12-04T15:04:00.001+00:002015-12-04T15:04:26.343+00:00Free travel on national rail for under 11s - beware the small print!<br />
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Back in November, the mayor Boris Johnson announced something that a lot of us with young children living in South East London have been waiting for a long time - <a href="https://tfl.gov.uk/info-for/media/press-releases/2015/november/mayor-announces-real-terms-fares-freeze-and-extends-free-travel-for-children" target="_blank">free travel on national rail for under 11s</a>, bringing them into line with the tube and other services. This was <a href="http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-london-34791332" target="_blank">widely reported</a> and <a href="http://www.newsshopper.co.uk/news/14026832.Children_under_11_to_travel_FREE_on_London_s_National_Rail_network/" target="_blank">welcomed</a>.<br />
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But beware the small print that the reporters missed! Unlike our counterparts in north London, parents of children south of the river will need to obtain a <a href="https://tfl.gov.uk/fares-and-payments/travel-for-under-18s/zip-oyster-photocards?intcmp=25258" target="_blank">5-10 Oyster Zip card</a> in order to benefit from this, <a href="https://tfl.gov.uk/campaign/new-fares?cid=newfares#on-this-page-9" target="_blank">otherwise we will be charged the child paper ticket fare </a>(currently £1.45 for a single from zone 3). The cost of this is £10 per child.<br />
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We already have them because they were worth having to reduce the cost of a single journey on national rail to 75p, but I suspect many other parents won't. It's likely many will just have heard the general announcement, maybe seen it in the paper and will assume their child can travel freely with them as they do on buses, DLR etc now. This could lead to many being hit with a penalty fare without realising they were doing anything wrong! I certainly hadn't realised we would still need the Oyster Zip cards in the new year until I received an email from TfL yesterday.<br />
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So while the change is welcomed, we are still being penalised for living south of the river, as if we weren't penalised enough by having to use Southeastern, Southern and Thameslink!<br />
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If you're a parent of a 5-10 year old, or you know someone else who is, do let them know about this change! Forewarned is forearmed and all that.Clare Griffithshttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13851313189672481904noreply@blogger.com2tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3340170275761793017.post-21345789728191924262015-09-11T11:01:00.001+01:002015-09-11T11:15:17.847+01:00Was Labour's purge worth it?Last month the was a <a href="http://www.theguardian.com/politics/blog/live/2015/aug/25/radio-5-live-holds-labour-leadership-hustings-after-charles-clarke-brands-election-a-disaster-politics-live?CMP=Share_iOSApp_Other" target="_blank">huge hoo-hah</a> over the fact that the Labour party had been weeding out non-supporters from people who had signed up after the general election, removing the vote from people they suspected didn't "<a href="http://onionbagblog.com/2015/08/20/whynotjointhelabourparty/" target="_blank">support Labour values</a>". I'll declare now that I think this was the wrong thing to do, so this is the background from which I am writing this post.<br />
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgFdq84t1wGPY_AG2l68J8P0a5BGXN1Nm5R1iSOA6oT70KgU-_0HOVXhhsmKN0ZnZb66b7_V3Oya5Jgt4t21DRY1fm76LPeqqo0ZouvnMPxMbP0jJabMGkvBctQPhSk11VzcYd7deK-JAKT/s1600/IMG_9179.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="320" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgFdq84t1wGPY_AG2l68J8P0a5BGXN1Nm5R1iSOA6oT70KgU-_0HOVXhhsmKN0ZnZb66b7_V3Oya5Jgt4t21DRY1fm76LPeqqo0ZouvnMPxMbP0jJabMGkvBctQPhSk11VzcYd7deK-JAKT/s320/IMG_9179.jpg" width="240" /></a></div>
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I'll also declare up front that I signed up as a registered supporter and paid my £3, before the general election, on the basis I wanted a say in who the London mayoral candidate would be for Labour. Getting a vote in the leadership election was a surprise. You can see me above supporting Labour values at People's Day back in the heady days of July when no one thought Jeremy Corbyn stood a chance.<br />
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Anyway, the point of this post is to determine whether the purge of 3,000 people who had signed up to vote in the leadership election was worth it, statistically and then following on from that from a PR point of view. It's clear from the post I linked above that the purge has removed some people who were in fact genuine supporters of Labour, so from that position I argue straight off it wasn't a wise thing to do.<br />
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But onto the stats. In order to determine whether or not the purge was "worth it" we need to determine whether or not those purged could influence the result. This requires a bit of information about who gets to vote in the election and their likely voting intentions and it requires you to make a few assumptions about those who were purged.<br />
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I have taken the data on Labour party membership from the <a href="http://www.theguardian.com/politics/blog/live/2015/aug/25/radio-5-live-holds-labour-leadership-hustings-after-charles-clarke-brands-election-a-disaster-politics-live?CMP=Share_iOSApp_Other" target="_blank">Guardian live blog</a> on the purge (yes, they liveblogged it...) and the data on likely voting intentions from a compilation of <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Labour_Party_(UK)_leadership_election,_2015#Opinion_polling" target="_blank">opinion poll results</a> on wikipedia.<br />
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So the total electorate for this leadership election was made up as follows:<br />
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<span style="font-family: Courier New, Courier, monospace;">Pre-election members 187,000</span><br />
<span style="font-family: Courier New, Courier, monospace;">Post-election members 105,973</span><br />
<span style="font-family: Courier New, Courier, monospace;">Affiliates 148,182</span><br />
<span style="font-family: Courier New, Courier, monospace;">Registered supporters 112,799</span><br />
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This gives a total of 553,954.<br />
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According to the Guardian, 3,000 people were "purged". My first assumption is that all these were registered supporters, not members. In fact I know this to be false, but I think it's reasonable to assume the majority were so let's stick with that.<br />
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This gives an electorate of:<br />
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<span style="font-family: Courier New, Courier, monospace;">Pre-election members 187,000</span><br />
<span style="font-family: Courier New, Courier, monospace;">Post-election members 105,973</span><br />
<span style="font-family: Courier New, Courier, monospace;">Affiliates 148,182</span><br />
<span style="font-family: Courier New, Courier, monospace;">Registered supporters 109,799</span><br />
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Next we need to decide how these people will vote. I have taken a range of opinion poll results to try to reflect the views of the different categories above. Obviously these are all assumptions. I have also assumed that 12% of the electorate won't vote and that all these are pre-election members.<br />
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I've assumed the pre-election members vote as the Ipsos MORI poll for the Evening Standard of 14-16 June:<br />
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<span style="font-family: Courier New, Courier, monospace;">Burnham 23%</span><br />
<span style="font-family: Courier New, Courier, monospace;">Cooper 20%</span><br />
<span style="font-family: Courier New, Courier, monospace;">Corbyn 9%</span><br />
<span style="font-family: Courier New, Courier, monospace;">Kendall 11%</span><br />
<span style="font-family: Courier New, Courier, monospace;">Unsure 37% (it's these people I have removed from further calculations).</span><br />
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I've assumed the post-election members vote as the Opinium poll of 21-25 August:<br />
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<span style="font-family: Courier New, Courier, monospace;">Burnham 27%</span><br />
<span style="font-family: Courier New, Courier, monospace;">Cooper 22%</span><br />
<span style="font-family: Courier New, Courier, monospace;">Corbyn 39%</span><br />
<span style="font-family: Courier New, Courier, monospace;">Kendall 12%</span><br />
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I've assumed the affiliates vote as the Opinium poll of 11-14 August:<br />
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<span style="font-family: Courier New, Courier, monospace;">Burnham 29%</span><br />
<span style="font-family: Courier New, Courier, monospace;">Cooper 19%</span><br />
<span style="font-family: Courier New, Courier, monospace;">Corbyn 37%</span><br />
<span style="font-family: Courier New, Courier, monospace;">Kendall 15%</span><br />
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I've assumed the registered supporters vote as the YouGov poll for The Times of 6-10 August:<br />
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<span style="font-family: Courier New, Courier, monospace;">Burnham 21%</span><br />
<span style="font-family: Courier New, Courier, monospace;">Cooper 18%</span><br />
<span style="font-family: Courier New, Courier, monospace;">Corbyn 53%</span><br />
<span style="font-family: Courier New, Courier, monospace;">Kendall 8%</span><br />
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And lastly I have assumed that every single purged supporter was an infiltrator intending to mess up the Labour party good and proper by voting for Corbyn.<br />
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Following through these numbers, it follows that if the purged voters were removed this would be the outcome:<br />
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<span style="font-family: Courier New, Courier, monospace;">Burnham 28.4%</span><br />
<span style="font-family: Courier New, Courier, monospace;">Cooper 22.4%</span><br />
<span style="font-family: Courier New, Courier, monospace;">Corbyn 35.9%</span><br />
<span style="font-family: Courier New, Courier, monospace;">Kendall 13.3%</span><br />
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Removing the purged voters has the following effect:<br />
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<span style="font-family: Courier New, Courier, monospace;">Burnham 28.6%</span><br />
<span style="font-family: Courier New, Courier, monospace;">Cooper 22.5%</span><br />
<span style="font-family: Courier New, Courier, monospace;">Corbyn 35.5%</span><br />
<span style="font-family: Courier New, Courier, monospace;">Kendall 13.3%</span><br />
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That's right. Removing those 3,000 people affects the result by 0.4 percentage points. That is it has absolutely <b>no impact</b> on the first preference results.<br />
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The eventual winner of the contest depends on what you assume happens to the second and third preferences but making some assumptions about who transfers to whom, the impact on the outcome is still 0.3 percentage points, that is keeping or removing those 3,000 people does not affect the result.<br />
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So was it worth it? I argue on the basis of the stats the answer is no. Those 3,000 people couldn't influence the eventual outcome and it's certain that some of them were genuine supporters, who may now be lost to the party forever. And that's before we get started on how incompetent and petty it makes the party look - a PR disaster.<br />
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And who will be the eventual winner? Well that really does depend on the distribution of second preferences. I worked out two, both plausible, scenarios, one of which leads to eventual victory for Burnham, the other for Corbyn. No doubt there's a third way that would lead to Cooper being victorious. The one thing that's certain is it won't be Liz Kendall. But she's philosophical about it:<br />
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<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" lang="en-gb">
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Nope, Malbec & steak <a href="https://t.co/Kcahcs8r02">https://t.co/Kcahcs8r02</a></div>
— Liz Kendall (@leicesterliz) <a href="https://twitter.com/leicesterliz/status/642053951832104960">September 10, 2015</a></blockquote>
<script async="" charset="utf-8" src="//platform.twitter.com/widgets.js"></script>Clare Griffithshttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13851313189672481904noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3340170275761793017.post-48557496324708725532015-09-09T16:04:00.000+01:002015-09-09T16:13:57.161+01:00Catford's "poo patrol" take matters into their own hands<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg5EJFKnxsmnfQnYOR2UJljIutf4rwEDeByToXkTzSN7JJ_6kk9Pf3g4X7bROA2L5Cbwoc7e0U-GAWCnsPTnRH3JhI-nilPkfKIiHGtcZKVWPNiniGqKAux685lHzhN1RxbtpxCB9w2H8GQ/s1600/IMG_9863.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="240" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg5EJFKnxsmnfQnYOR2UJljIutf4rwEDeByToXkTzSN7JJ_6kk9Pf3g4X7bROA2L5Cbwoc7e0U-GAWCnsPTnRH3JhI-nilPkfKIiHGtcZKVWPNiniGqKAux685lHzhN1RxbtpxCB9w2H8GQ/s320/IMG_9863.jpg" width="320" /></a></div>
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Residents of Catford's Corbett Estate have decided to act over the levels of dog poo being left around the allotments on Hazelbank Road. Overnight these chalk markings have appeared, encircling the offending excrement piles, and imploring dog owners to have some respect.<br />
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhf-SgKQZdvz79ud1YYootoL1ulO0SeDfzL7-gdgtQp0wn6MjYCfDFZk6K35fSTdABKKo2WurJvn4snuQml7wkIKlj60iPXni5J_AEdP-Ea1IYilB3PbQTjlSDkgQVa-zSNdTR8F_-MYznU/s1600/IMG_9864.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="240" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhf-SgKQZdvz79ud1YYootoL1ulO0SeDfzL7-gdgtQp0wn6MjYCfDFZk6K35fSTdABKKo2WurJvn4snuQml7wkIKlj60iPXni5J_AEdP-Ea1IYilB3PbQTjlSDkgQVa-zSNdTR8F_-MYznU/s320/IMG_9864.jpg" width="320" /></a></div>
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The area around the allotments appears to be a popular dumping ground for people to bring their dogs to do their business and simply leave the droppings behind rather than clearing it up. Presumably this is under some misguided notion that leaving poo by some allotments doesn't affect anyone.<br />
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEicPLme7mEE2wfI1y_1G5lSXIxbKaiCajwrgg1XzjTO9-k9Dtn2rDiI-xKztzCagIo2a4zCaarQjkCfi6S_LsP7CrvzN18qKwLaJGrCAohUmfkER42vReXPd6yrDIJljvkPAbg_pa45yY41/s1600/IMG_9861.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="240" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEicPLme7mEE2wfI1y_1G5lSXIxbKaiCajwrgg1XzjTO9-k9Dtn2rDiI-xKztzCagIo2a4zCaarQjkCfi6S_LsP7CrvzN18qKwLaJGrCAohUmfkER42vReXPd6yrDIJljvkPAbg_pa45yY41/s320/IMG_9861.jpg" width="320" /></a></div>
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This is obvious nonsense, and people who have to walk their children to school along "poo road" as my children affectionately call it, appear to have had enough.<br />
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh4wfglvSDVZuWSJohUjycv6dhuhBpI0AWgKL-SG6jQjSpNluxzeyuOm7X7cQwrfnjHh7-B1rMR_rNyd6XSvBzPbXRpK7ur12-GFzqYIDeZYk8mKiFlTi-7qy22T39QgtdTHk-iMaP9hVFq/s1600/IMG_9860.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="240" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh4wfglvSDVZuWSJohUjycv6dhuhBpI0AWgKL-SG6jQjSpNluxzeyuOm7X7cQwrfnjHh7-B1rMR_rNyd6XSvBzPbXRpK7ur12-GFzqYIDeZYk8mKiFlTi-7qy22T39QgtdTHk-iMaP9hVFq/s320/IMG_9860.jpg" width="320" /></a></div>
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In the past the council would have cleared this mess up on a fairly regular basis, but with cuts to street cleaning and weed control, the section of pavement surrounding the allotments is in a pretty terrible state.<br />
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgqmrfTXGL2-n6vmzQu8MUJH_u1Wkm3f4Hg5svJeJ9NgyZPyt0G5qPOQ0lc41Csg6h88YspkMTEL5zafVr3iTSj-OIw58RbUAiaxEZ1NPTmknbojuBfXIUma_TqlRLcdIInCZDUKQjdsqas/s1600/IMG_9859.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="240" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgqmrfTXGL2-n6vmzQu8MUJH_u1Wkm3f4Hg5svJeJ9NgyZPyt0G5qPOQ0lc41Csg6h88YspkMTEL5zafVr3iTSj-OIw58RbUAiaxEZ1NPTmknbojuBfXIUma_TqlRLcdIInCZDUKQjdsqas/s320/IMG_9859.jpg" width="320" /></a></div>
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What do you think? Is this a good tactic to get people to stop letting their dogs poo wherever they like? Can foxes read? Should the council be clearing this stuff up more regularly?<br />
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More poo news as we get it!Clare Griffithshttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13851313189672481904noreply@blogger.com2tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3340170275761793017.post-87855559274004471882015-05-25T20:21:00.002+01:002015-05-25T20:23:53.846+01:00Pollution monitoring in Catford and Hither Green - some shocking results<iframe height="480" src="https://www.google.com/maps/d/embed?mid=ztVU1_UwnVKI.kkCtQCN8K9YI&hl=en" width="640"></iframe>
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Back in February a small group of us undertook some air pollution monitoring in Catford and Hither Green (basically covering the Corbett and Culverley Green estates and slightly beyond). This was made possible through funding and support from <a href="http://mappingforchange.org.uk/" target="_blank">Mapping for Change</a>. We put up 30 nitrogen dioxide monitoring tubes - that look like this:
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We put them on lamp posts and other street furniture, left them up for a month, took them down then sent them off via Mapping for Change to a lab to be analysed to determine the level of nitrogen dioxide in the air in that area. The results are in the map above. Anything between 30 and 39 is amber and is considered moderate air pollution. This would be considered harmful to health. You can see that the level outside Torridon Infant School is 34.
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhKUbbRJzGXK-1QKw7996SNJsmKnuwIWdowxg9Y01y0pdtZHKfWJN4cwfPVcxvdx61EmMk-jsOs8_RRnea2kJTuUKXi9EsrbsIA5_9l_CBjyCdAux1xtZAAeH2i56VfZEXf4z_wahUvOdU9/s1600/grid+30.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="320" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhKUbbRJzGXK-1QKw7996SNJsmKnuwIWdowxg9Y01y0pdtZHKfWJN4cwfPVcxvdx61EmMk-jsOs8_RRnea2kJTuUKXi9EsrbsIA5_9l_CBjyCdAux1xtZAAeH2i56VfZEXf4z_wahUvOdU9/s320/grid+30.jpg" width="240" /></a></div>
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The level outside Rushey Green school was 36.
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhcgIkwxNd6WRKBu9k4jU8KVzmuC3sWMYQXMdNF12PtvP1Tt9uURBpVU7CU7cko0a344RaFPA2xQQTzDTW3261GVwxHLSVHwVwAJovReyVDF0l10x3A4ES1-arxtle5RzlJHiv1jMwQUwdh/s1600/grid+15.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="240" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhcgIkwxNd6WRKBu9k4jU8KVzmuC3sWMYQXMdNF12PtvP1Tt9uURBpVU7CU7cko0a344RaFPA2xQQTzDTW3261GVwxHLSVHwVwAJovReyVDF0l10x3A4ES1-arxtle5RzlJHiv1jMwQUwdh/s320/grid+15.jpg" width="320" /></a></div>
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Anything 40 and above is above the EU legal limit. You can see that there are a number of places where the nitrogen dioxide levels exceed 40, mainly on the main roads such as Rushey Green, Bromley Road, Verdant Lane, Hither Green Lane and Sandhurst Road. What these all have in common of course is that they are on bus routes and our buses are unfortunately some of the worst polluting vehicles on out streets. Hazelbank Road also came out as red, this is a road often used as a rat run by drivers wanting to avoid the South Circular.<br />
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Ah yes, the South Circular. You'll see that some of the circles on the map are black. These are places where pollution was more than 1.5 times the EU legal limit - and these are all on the South Circular road. Those of us who live here know that the traffic on this road is horrendous and that it is snarled up at all times of the day and sometimes night! Now we know that the pollution on this road is harming our health.<br />
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Low emission zone? Ha ha.
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Incidentally, Lewisham Council <a href="https://www.lewisham.gov.uk/myservices/environment/air-pollution/Documents/AirQualityProgressReport2014.pdf" target="_blank">monitors air pollution across the borough</a> and publishes a report annually on it. The area we covered is in two Air Quality Management Areas - which means the council recognises there is a problem and is supposed to take steps to actively reduce pollution in the area. However, it only monitors three locations in our area at present, and none of these are in the most polluted places. Incidentally, the council monitors outside Torridon Junior School and the results the council is showing for that location over the years are very similar to what we found outside the Infants. This is not a new problem.
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When we got the results we were shocked, so we went to the papers with our findings. We had articles featuring our work in the South London Press and News Shopper:
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Since then I've arranged to meet with both the council and our MP, Heidi Alexander, to discuss the results and consider what can be done about air quality in our area. I'd like to put pressure on Transport for London to speed up the introduction of hybrid buses on routes through residential areas like ours and I also want the council to consider stopping rat running traffic on roads like Verdant Lane and Dowanhill/Hazelbank Roads. It was also announced last week that councils may be able to <a href="https://www.london.gov.uk/mayor-assembly/london-assembly/2015/05/news-from-jenny-jones-am-mayor-says-ultra-low-emission-zone" target="_blank">opt in to the ultra low emission zone</a> when it is introduced in 2020, and I think Lewisham should definitely do this if that becomes possible. I'll report back on the results of my discussions in due course!
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<br />Clare Griffithshttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13851313189672481904noreply@blogger.com1tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3340170275761793017.post-14581220799766044332015-04-08T21:11:00.001+01:002015-04-24T20:38:41.603+01:00The General Election in Lewisham East<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj7H-gSm3ubCyQfiJuumfP1Pvct_Oex9dSUrHjdA-bWONU32kZqcJ0OvC_2JLS8cA2q9y0YrA3dflLw1GEdGV5G8Q_Qt2_pHEVTVF-TlXy3pbdSfpCBVjSd4mZi4gFtiB6DCyUKKtZI6tBR/s1600/IMG_6615.JPG" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj7H-gSm3ubCyQfiJuumfP1Pvct_Oex9dSUrHjdA-bWONU32kZqcJ0OvC_2JLS8cA2q9y0YrA3dflLw1GEdGV5G8Q_Qt2_pHEVTVF-TlXy3pbdSfpCBVjSd4mZi4gFtiB6DCyUKKtZI6tBR/s1600/IMG_6615.JPG" height="240" width="320" /></a></div>
<span style="font-size: x-small;">(picture from <a href="https://twitter.com/heidi_mp" target="_blank">Heidi Alexander on Twitter</a>)</span><br />
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It won't have escaped your attention that there's a general election coming. Unless of course you live under a rock. I live in the Lewisham East constituency so that's the one I'm going to write about here. You'll have to look elsewhere for your <a href="http://alternativese4.com/2015/01/18/lewisham-deptford-general-election-2015-vicky-foxcroft/" target="_blank">Lewisham Deptford</a> and Lewisham West and Penge cutting edge analysis I'm afraid.<br />
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgNGVDkEUdGt2IUFmZfTHnKF5hLBveaPYJLZtbW-uogXay6lDYO-GGQnIkqkE8XdjCshPiYl6rnT6dc2bZXl8pS_m-1IMMcGE2qGAlyqTtzPMH-jtjW_u2CKTTUpeVbyX7WlYWXCuQtetsp/s1600/290px-Lewisham_East_(UK_Parliament_constituency).GIF" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgNGVDkEUdGt2IUFmZfTHnKF5hLBveaPYJLZtbW-uogXay6lDYO-GGQnIkqkE8XdjCshPiYl6rnT6dc2bZXl8pS_m-1IMMcGE2qGAlyqTtzPMH-jtjW_u2CKTTUpeVbyX7WlYWXCuQtetsp/s1600/290px-Lewisham_East_(UK_Parliament_constituency).GIF" height="320" width="270" /></a></div>
<span style="font-size: x-small;">(picture from <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lewisham_East_%28UK_Parliament_constituency%29" target="_blank">wikipedia</a>)</span><br />
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What do we know about Lewisham East? Well, it's formed of the council wards of Blackheath, Lee Green, Grove Park, Rushey Green, Catford South, Whitefoot and Downham. These wards returned 21 Labour councillors at the <a href="http://clogsilk.blogspot.co.uk/2014/05/lewisham-council-election-results-2014.html" target="_blank">last local elections</a>. <br />
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Historically the seat was Conservative from 1983-1992, when it was held by former Sports Minister Colin Moynihan (a name that might be familiar to the real politics geeks amongst you.) Interestingly, the Conservative victory in 1983 was largely as a result of Labour <a href="http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/2015guide/lewishameast/" target="_blank">losing votes to the SDP</a>, whose candidate was Polly Toynbee. In 1992 it was won by Bridget Prentice and when she stepped down in 2010, <a href="http://www.heidialexander.org.uk/" target="_blank">Heidi Alexander</a> took the seat. Heidi had previously been a councillor in Deptford, and, fact fans, is 40 during this election campaign, being only a couple of months younger than me.<br />
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I had a look back through the election results from 1992 to 2010 using the amazing <a href="http://www.politicsresources.net/" target="_blank">Political Science Resources</a> website by Richard Kimber, to produce a couple of charts with some interesting info about previous results. Did you know, for example, that only four parties contested the seat in 1992 - Labour, Conservative, Lib Dem and the Natural Law Party. In case you've forgotten the Natural Law Party here's one of their party political broadcasts to remind you:<br />
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<iframe allowfullscreen="" frameborder="0" height="315" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/0RnbLqM1EUE" width="560"></iframe>
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Genius. Who could forget yogic flying?<br />
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And did you know that one <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/James_Cleverly" target="_blank">James Cleverly</a>, London Assembly member for Bexley and Bromley, contested the seat in 2005, gaining 7,512 votes for the Conservatives?<br />
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Here's a chart of the historical results. I've included "did not vote" as a category.<br />
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I think it's pretty clear who's going to win in 2015, unless all those Did Not Votes decide to do something very different. The only sign that there's a general election on when you pootle about the constituency is the proliferation of these signs in people's front gardens...<br />
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What's of interest, apart from taking bets on the size of Heidi's majority, is who is going to come second. I think we can expect the Lib Dem vote to collapse, as seen in the council elections when their vote share plummeted from 27% in 2010 to 9%. They got a 28% share in the general election in 2010 if you exclude the DNVs from the equation. <br />
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The chart above shows the 2010 election results, including only the <a href="https://yournextmp.com/constituency/65705/lewisham-east" target="_blank">parties expected to contest in 2015</a>. I've left off the English Democrats as they only got 426 votes in 2010 and don't appear to be standing a candidate in 2015, thankfully.<br />
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The Conservative candidate is a Bromley councillor, <a href="https://www.conservatives.com/OurTeam/Prospective_Parliamentary_Candidates/Fortune_Peter.aspx" target="_blank">Peter Fortune</a>. I guess he might fancy his chances of coming second given past form and what's happened to the Lib Dems. However, this leaflet seems wildly optimistic.<br />
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They can't even get the name of the constituency right.<br />
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I've had no election literature from the Lib Dem candidate <a href="https://twitter.com/julia_fletcher" target="_blank">Julia Fletcher</a>, until last year a councillor in Downham, or from the <a href="http://lewisham.greenparty.org.uk/elections2015/" target="_blank">Green candidate</a> Störm Poorun. I'm promised something in a couple of weeks from the Greens...<br />
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<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" lang="en">
<a href="https://twitter.com/lewgreenparty">@lewgreenparty</a> <a href="https://twitter.com/clogsilk">@clogsilk</a> Hi Claire, my website has been updated, should be live later today! I'll send it out here :) Plus 2 leaflets coming<br />
— Störm Poorun (@stormpoorun) <a href="https://twitter.com/stormpoorun/status/585730176182521856">April 8, 2015</a></blockquote>
<script async="" charset="utf-8" src="//platform.twitter.com/widgets.js"></script>
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We'll gloss over the complete inability to spell my name.<br />
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The Greens got 16% of the vote in the 2014 council elections, and were the second party, so you'd think they might fancy their chances at second place in this general election. But in 2010 they polled 11% in the local elections, coming third behind Labour and the Lib Dems, but managed only 1.5% in the vote for MP. So it's pretty clear that local results aren't a huge guide to what might happen nationally.<br />
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It's been suggested to me that Lewisham East is on a list of constituencies where UKIP might come second. I couldn't find evidence of that on googling but if anyone wants to point me to it I'd be interested to see where the idea has come from. They polled less than 2% in the last general election here. They did poll fairly high numbers in the council elections last year in Whitefoot, Downham and Grove Park, to the south and east of the constituency where you might expect them to do well, but even there their vote share is nowhere near sufficient to see a leap in voters of the magnitude you'd need to put them second. The UKIP candidate is <a href="http://www.irr.org.uk/news/sharia-watch-uk-and-the-metamorphosis-of-anne-marie-waters/" target="_blank">Anne Marie Waters</a>, founder of <a href="http://www.shariawatch.org.uk/articles/hilary-aked#.VSfYRUY-K9t" target="_blank">Sharia Watch</a> (nb she is listed as Anna Maria Waters in the nomination papers).<br />
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Taking the top six parties and including only the highest scoring person from each party at the council elections last year in the wards that make up Lewisham East, you get a vote share that looks like the above chart. This sees UKIP coming last, with a share of 8%. It wouldn't surprise me too much if this isn't pretty much the order of the parties come May 7th, although I'd expect the Tories to score somewhat higher than this.<br />
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People before Profit did quite well in the council elections in some of the wards in Lewisham East, and their candidate <a href="http://peoplebeforeprofit.org.uk/vote-usgeneral-election-2015/lewisham-east" target="_blank">Nick Long</a> seems keen and willing to answer questions (more than can be said for some of the other candidates) but if we're honest, this is a bit outside their main stamping ground of Deptford, Telegraph Hill and New Cross.<br />
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So there you have it. The state of play in Lewisham East. I'm expecting a stonking victory for Heidi Alexander, with the Tories in second. The Lib Dems will collapse and I think People before Profit and the Greens will increase their vote share from 2010 significantly. I hope we see nothing of UKIP.<br />
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Any predictions, readers?<br />
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Update 9 April 17:30: The <a href="http://www.lewishamcpa.org.uk/malcolmMartin.asp" target="_blank">Christian People's Alliance</a> are also standing a candidate (the link is to Lewisham Deptford candidate Malcolm Martin, they don't have a page for the Lewisham East candidate, Maureen Martin), and the UKIP candidate is listed as Anna Maria Waters, not <a href="http://www.annemariewaters.org/" target="_blank">Anne Marie Waters</a>, but I'm 99.9% certain it's the same person. Full list of candidates <a href="http://www.lewisham.gov.uk/mayorandcouncil/elections/Documents/StatementofPersonsNominatedandNoticeofPollLewishamEast.pdf" target="_blank">here</a>.<br />
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Update 10 April 11:15: You can see what YouGov are predicting for Lewisham East based on a whole range of factors (not local opinion polls....) <a href="https://yougov.co.uk/#/constituency/258/nowcast/" target="_blank">here</a>.<br />
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Update 24 April 20:30: corrected an error in the 2010 election results that had transposed the Conservative and Lib Dem vote. Oops! Still think the Tories will come second in 2015 though.<br />
<br />Clare Griffithshttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13851313189672481904noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3340170275761793017.post-800808778111516012015-03-11T13:57:00.000+00:002015-03-11T13:57:05.878+00:00Catford Bridge Tavern fire - some pictures and some speculation on what the future holds<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiUhYa4loWJS9Jsqd4gbwZOAT5abePaJhP8vOpA-b9PHENSlTG9dsF8IankxqPruoHMF4Y5LJa90DPZlTz7AmV9Q3YWzYIyav68mUvoAOmZy4uRlbPP94-9e6mf1ci2SbMbeanXWl24_rZG/s1600/Fire+out,+dowsing+down+flames.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiUhYa4loWJS9Jsqd4gbwZOAT5abePaJhP8vOpA-b9PHENSlTG9dsF8IankxqPruoHMF4Y5LJa90DPZlTz7AmV9Q3YWzYIyav68mUvoAOmZy4uRlbPP94-9e6mf1ci2SbMbeanXWl24_rZG/s1600/Fire+out,+dowsing+down+flames.jpg" height="213" width="320" /></a></div>
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On the evening of Sunday March 1, Catford residents started to hear via twitter that the Catford Bridge Tavern was on fire. As this pub was, for a short time, my much-loved local, I had to go down and take a look for myself. I took some photos and video, although by the time I got there the pub had been burning for around 3 hours and the flames had died down a bit. Eventually the fire was out by about 11:30, but fire fighters from all over south and east London were dousing down the flames through the night.<br />
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I cycled past the site on Monday morning on my way into work and it was looking in a sorry state. The roof was completely gone, as was most of the upper floor and the first floor also appeared damaged:<br />
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This photo taken from the edge of the police cordon shows that a lot of the back of the pub was also damaged:<br />
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London Fire Brigade are at the moment saying that the cause of the fire was <a href="http://www.london-fire.gov.uk/LatestIncidentsContainer_01031560.asp#.VQBDnkYSO9s" target="_blank">not thought to be suspicious</a>. Some on twitter suggested it might be lightning. <br />
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<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" lang="en">
<a href="https://twitter.com/KentStormChaser">@KentStormChaser</a> <a href="https://twitter.com/EWE_UK">@EWE_UK</a> <a href="https://twitter.com/headcornweather">@headcornweather</a> found this one lightning strike at about 17:58 area of <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/Catford?src=hash">#Catford</a> <a href="http://t.co/SuNVVzvynh">pic.twitter.com/SuNVVzvynh</a><br />
— John Gardiner (@88JohnGardiner) <a href="https://twitter.com/88JohnGardiner/status/572125443542937600">March 1, 2015</a></blockquote>
<script async="" charset="utf-8" src="//platform.twitter.com/widgets.js"></script>
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Others were a little more speculative based on the recent history of the pub. Briefly, in August 2012, plans were submitted to Lewisham Council to <a href="http://londonist.com/2012/10/plans-to-turn-catford-bridge-tavern-into-a-supermarket.php" target="_blank">turn it into a supermarket</a> - with a Tesco on the ground floor and housing above.<br />
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In November 2012 it <a href="http://www.eastlondonlines.co.uk/2012/11/final-orders-at-catford-bridge-tavern/" target="_blank">briefly closed</a> as Antic, who were running the pub at the time, were ordered out. However, Lewisham council put a temporary article 4 direction on the pub, preventing it from opening as a supermarket without planning permission being granted. This was <a href="http://councilmeetings.lewisham.gov.uk/documents/s21896/Catford%20Bridge%20Tavern.pdf" target="_blank">confirmed</a> in April 2013 and the pub went on to win <a href="http://www.newsshopper.co.uk/news/10328160.Catford_Bridge_Tavern_is_CAMRA_s_south_east_London_pub_of_the_year/" target="_blank">SE London CAMRA pub of the year</a>. However, at the end of 2013, Tesco threw Antic out and they went on to open the Constitutional Club, just down the road. In August 2013, Tesco sold the lease to Solitaire, who were refurbishing the pub with a view to reopening.<br />
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Before opening as the Catford Bridge Tavern in 2012, it had been the Copperfield and had numerous <a href="http://www.newsshopper.co.uk/news/9443283.Catford_Copperfield_pub_review_after_drug_and_stabbing_allegations/" target="_blank">problems with antisocial behaviour</a>, and was closed in December 2011.<br />
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So where are we now? Solitaire, the current holders of the lease, say they still intend to <a href="http://www.morningadvertiser.co.uk/General-News/Catford-Bridge-Tavern-will-still-re-open-following-fire-confirms-owner?utm_source=AddThis_twitter&utm_medium=twitter&utm_campaign=SocialMedia#.VPSbkVhcdlw.twitter" target="_blank">press ahead with refurbishment</a> and reopen as a pub. They say they <a href="http://www.catfordtavern.com/" target="_blank">will be carrying on</a>, subject to approval of their planning application for a pub and some flats above. <br />
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What protection does the article 4 direction give? Well, the direction is on the pub rather than the site.<br />
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<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" lang="en">
<a href="https://twitter.com/clogsilk">@clogsilk</a> <a href="https://twitter.com/darryl1974">@darryl1974</a> as far as I remember it's on the building, but it would require full planning consent to build something else.<br />
— Alan Smith (@CllrAl) <a href="https://twitter.com/CllrAl/status/572432657096843264">March 2, 2015</a></blockquote>
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However, since all an article 4 does is remove ‘permitted development rights’ for a
property - meaning that any proposed change of use has to go through a
planning committee - in reality this has no bearing on whether or not the refurbishment will go ahead. If the building is found to be unsafe and has to be demolished, building something else on the site will require full planning consent, just as change of use would do. <span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="font-size: small;"><span style="font-family: inherit;">W</span>hilst<span style="font-family: inherit;"> </span>Local Planning Authorities have the power to make and confirm their<span style="font-family: inherit;"> </span>own Article 4 directions and do not require the Secre<span style="font-family: inherit;">tary </span>o<span style="font-family: inherit;">f State</span>'s approval in this<span style="font-family: inherit;"> </span>respect, the SoS does retain the power to cancel or modify Article 4<span style="font-family: inherit;"> directions. So if Lewisham <span style="font-family: inherit;">council refu<span style="font-family: inherit;">se<span style="font-family: inherit;">d permission to change the use of the site, the <span style="font-family: inherit;">owners <span style="font-family: inherit;">could appeal t<span style="font-family: inherit;">o the <span style="font-family: inherit;">Secretary of State. This is unlikely<span style="font-family: inherit;">, as <span style="font-family: inherit;">Solitaire have sai<span style="font-family: inherit;">d they intend to proceed with t<span style="font-family: inherit;">heir application as planned, although it doesn't appear to have been s<span style="font-family: inherit;">ubmi<span style="font-family: inherit;">t<span style="font-family: inherit;">ted yet (at least I can<span style="font-family: inherit;">'t find it on the planning portal...)</span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="font-size: small;"><span style="font-family: inherit;"><br /></span></span></span>
<span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="font-size: small;"><span style="font-family: inherit;">So for the moment, we need to wait to see what the outcome of the investigations post-fire are, and w<span style="font-family: inherit;">he<span style="font-family: inherit;">ther or not the buildin<span style="font-family: inherit;">g is too badly damaged to be refurb<span style="font-family: inherit;">ished. This is the biggest <span style="font-family: inherit;">risk to <span style="font-family: inherit;">the future of the site as a pub, and <span style="font-family: inherit;">in this respect t<span style="font-family: inherit;">he article 4 direction doesn't protect <span style="font-family: inherit;">it. Watch this space.</span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span><br />
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<span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="font-size: small;"><a href="https://www.blogger.com/null" name="4"></a></span></span><br />Clare Griffithshttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13851313189672481904noreply@blogger.com3tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3340170275761793017.post-20973652288595131502015-02-26T14:32:00.001+00:002015-02-27T14:38:18.995+00:00Ace's Bar applies for change of useAce's Bar on Verdant Lane has applied for <a href="http://planning.lewisham.gov.uk/online-applications/applicationDetails.do?activeTab=documents&keyVal=_LEWIS_DCAPR_77546" target="_blank">change of use to class A4</a>, from its current designation of A3 (takeaway) and A5 (restaurant) use. A4 use means a "drinking establishment" and would allow the bar to serve alcohol without requiring customers to also consume food. <a href="http://www.newsshopper.co.uk/news/11761586.Hither_Green_s_fish_and_chip_shop_nightclub_takes_council_battering/" target="_blank">Last month</a> the bar was ordered to operate as a restaurant by Lewisham's licensing committee after a license review following complaints from neighbours about late night noise and disturbance. Ace's can therefore currently only serve alcohol until midnight at weekends and 11pm on weeknights.<br>
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It seems pretty clear the current application is a response to this review and confirms the owners' clear intention to operate the premises as a bar and not as a restaurant. In one of the planning documents they state that they thought they already had an A4 license granted, though this does not appear to be the case from the<a href="http://planning.lewisham.gov.uk/online-applications/propertyDetails.do?activeTab=relatedCases&keyVal=_LEWIS_PROPLPI_130280_1" target="_blank"> list of planning applications associated with the bar</a> from the council planning portal.<br>
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjkbx7FQblhyphenhyphenmX8-ov8ELODPxwVQfWz0TDwDfWyJivdBFHYq4VCOGRSx6RlomSpWtrNfbpYJAaSAW3afkNMR9I_2NYNXu6JudqfV2OzW889wQsFXY-7VanMn1HeBADvig0tn-igptDvblHX/s1600/doc.png" imageanchor="1" style="clear: left; float: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjkbx7FQblhyphenhyphenmX8-ov8ELODPxwVQfWz0TDwDfWyJivdBFHYq4VCOGRSx6RlomSpWtrNfbpYJAaSAW3afkNMR9I_2NYNXu6JudqfV2OzW889wQsFXY-7VanMn1HeBADvig0tn-igptDvblHX/s1600/doc.png" height="320" width="233"></a><br>
I've uploaded a copy of one of the supporting statements as the council website won't let me link directly to it. It can be accessed through the planning portal though.<br>
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In the supporting statements the owners say they are operating successfully as a bar at the moment and that the community are supportive of the use of the premises as a bar. This would appear to be counter to the evidence from the license review that was prompted following residents' complaints.<br>
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The owners say they want the bar to be a part of the community and be a place for local residents to socialise.<div><br></div><div>Comments on the application can be made until 10 March.<br>
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<br></div>Clare Griffithshttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13851313189672481904noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3340170275761793017.post-72842036520097152972015-01-22T07:00:00.000+00:002015-01-23T13:21:16.731+00:00More through trains from Catford to Kentish Town are coming!<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjsbO3uqtqIF9oE4MF39TlOew5AitRtRNIcPe5nkaquzoNkr-_60F2q0xID2_ZrUX4oMm2RLS8FPQIVZgsRud3kALQa0bs-mTzjzsEUOw2r6Rg77YprtZnxsKMWIgMdZtl7NDcvx8OcujT0/s1600/Catford+Stadium.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjsbO3uqtqIF9oE4MF39TlOew5AitRtRNIcPe5nkaquzoNkr-_60F2q0xID2_ZrUX4oMm2RLS8FPQIVZgsRud3kALQa0bs-mTzjzsEUOw2r6Rg77YprtZnxsKMWIgMdZtl7NDcvx8OcujT0/s1600/Catford+Stadium.jpg" height="212" width="320" /></a></div>
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I'm late to this, but Govia Thameslink Railway, who run the trains through Catford amongst other things, launched a <a href="http://www.thameslinkrailway.com/your-journey/timetables/december-timetable-consultation" target="_blank">consultation</a> on their proposed timetable changes for 2015 last year, with a closing date of 30 January.<br />
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The changes proposed for Catford are minor, so minor that they aren't asking for feedback on this part of the timetable change (see page 8 of this <a href="http://www.thameslinkrailway.com/download/6988.8/gtr-timetable-consultation-document/" target="_blank">29 page pdf</a>)! <br />
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In December 2015, they are proposing that early morning and late evening services which currently operate only between London Blackfriars and Sevenoaks will be extended to and from Kentish Town. This will provide Catford with extra connections through to St Pancras and beyond.<br />
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They propose no further changes in 2015.<br />
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From 2018 they propose that trains between Sevenoaks and London Blackfriars on Saturdays are extended to and from Kentish Town providing weekend connections to and from London St Pancras. This is also obviously good news, but one might ask why we have to wait so long? Presumably it's something to do with the <a href="http://www.thameslinkprogramme.co.uk/" target="_blank">Thameslink Programme</a>.<br />
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If one were feeling churlish, one might also suggest that there is potential to run more frequent services through Catford, the service frequency can be pretty woeful! Still, it gets me to the football.<br />
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<i>(Thanks to <a href="http://853blog.com/" target="_blank">Darryl</a> for the tip off)</i><br />
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<br />Clare Griffithshttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13851313189672481904noreply@blogger.com2tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3340170275761793017.post-1815643586131392962015-01-21T07:30:00.000+00:002015-01-21T11:34:28.702+00:00Update on the Safer Brownhill Road campaign<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjd7goCzOHL5N7NV80E2Ma-SCSB_vI2zobBuetKkL6oNeNRq2X9FHQ8sOXdZMzDp84Be36nxp_OZAMCgq1Rhd_7x9O3kbwmRWClzCg8Ce-t0ekzlEJNVrfACzB228i38rmkJOBmEhUqe8go/s1600/Brownhill-Rd-catford.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjd7goCzOHL5N7NV80E2Ma-SCSB_vI2zobBuetKkL6oNeNRq2X9FHQ8sOXdZMzDp84Be36nxp_OZAMCgq1Rhd_7x9O3kbwmRWClzCg8Ce-t0ekzlEJNVrfACzB228i38rmkJOBmEhUqe8go/s1600/Brownhill-Rd-catford.jpg" height="240" width="320" /></a></div>
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I wrote back in October about the <a href="http://clogsilk.blogspot.co.uk/2014/10/safer-brownhill-road.html" target="_blank">Safer Brownhill Road campaign</a>, set up to try to make TfL take action to improve the safety of the crossing at Stainton Road and to install a crossing at Torridon Road. Natasha, who set up the campaign, was running a petition to TfL which was presented towards the end of last year. It was presented to the chair of TfL by Len Duvall, London Assembly member for our area and in the meantime Heidi Alexander, our MP, has written to TfL. Caroline Pidgeon, a LibDem assembly member who covers transport, came to view the junction and the crossing earlier this month.<br />
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Since that visit<span style="font-size: small;"><span style="font-family: inherit;"> <span style="background-color: white; color: #141823; display: inline ! important; float: none; font-style: normal; font-variant: normal; font-weight: normal; letter-spacing: normal; line-height: 19.32px; text-align: left; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; white-space: normal; word-spacing: 0px;">TfL have agreed to refresh the Stainton Road zebra crossing. They say that they have inspected the road markings at this location concluded that while they were not in urgent need of refreshing and were legible, they would be happy to add a refresh onto their programme of works for 2015/16. TfL also say they are investigating the lights in the zebra crossing posts and will take necessary action to make them brighter and therefore more visible to drivers. They are also exploring the possibility of adding two advance warning signs on the posts before the crossing to warn drivers. They say that they are hopeful of having these signs installed within the next 10 to 12 weeks. Keep an eye out!</span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: small;"><span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="background-color: white; color: #141823; display: inline ! important; float: none; font-style: normal; font-variant: normal; font-weight: normal; letter-spacing: normal; line-height: 19.32px; text-align: left; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; white-space: normal; word-spacing: 0px;"> </span><br style="background-color: white; color: #141823; font-style: normal; font-variant: normal; font-weight: normal; letter-spacing: normal; line-height: 19.32px; text-align: left; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; white-space: normal; word-spacing: 0px;" /><span style="background-color: white; color: #141823; display: inline ! important; float: none; font-style: normal; font-variant: normal; font-weight: normal; letter-spacing: normal; line-height: 19.32px; text-align: left; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; white-space: normal; word-spacing: 0px;">In addition to this, TfL have agreed to carry out a safety assessment on the junction of Brownhill Road and Torridon Road to consider installing a controlled pedestrian crossing - this assessment will be carried out before January 2016. </span></span></span><br />
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In TfL's letter to Heidi Alexander from October 2014, from Leon Daniels MD for surface transport at TfL, they say the review of the Brownhill/Torridon junction will happen "within the next financial year", which I guess fits with Jan 2016. However, in an email sent from his office in December to Mark Morris, LibDem senior press officer, it is made very clear that this is "subject to change". TfL also state in that same email that "there were just two collisions in 2013 at this location that resulted in injuries."<br />
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This email was followed up by Mark at the beginning of this month with further questions about both Stainton Road and Torridon Road. TfL's reply outlines their plans for the Stainton Road crossing. They say that after recent events and the petition signed by local residents they will include this location in their 2015/16 annual programme of road safety reviews. As part of this, they will review the safety record of Brownhill Road, which includes the existing zebra crossing at its junction with Stainton Road. The study will also consider the viability of introducing a controlled pedestrian crossing at the junction of Brownhill Road and Torridon Road. This review will be completed by January 2016.<br />
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Natasha plans to push for the review to happen sooner, rightly pointing out that a year is an awful long time to wait. Watch this space, and well done to Natasha for getting this on to the agenda at all!Clare Griffithshttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13851313189672481904noreply@blogger.com1tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3340170275761793017.post-69010714841152038102015-01-19T17:53:00.001+00:002015-01-19T17:55:10.642+00:00Don't mention the prefabs - Lewisham Council plans new "pop up" housingLewisham Council announced last week that it plans to put <a href="http://www.lewisham.gov.uk/news/Pages/Plans-unveiled-for-groundbreaking-%E2%80%98pop-up%E2%80%99-housing-scheme.aspx" target="_blank">"pop up housing"</a> on the site of the former Ladywell Leisure Centre, to provide temporary homes for 24 families, plus some community facilities. The plan is that the housing would remain on the site for no longer than four years. There would be eight ground-floor non-residential units.<br />
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The council have <a href="http://www.lewisham.gov.uk/inmyarea/regeneration/lewishamtowncentre/Pages/Lewisham-Central-opportunity-site.aspx" target="_blank">published some details</a> of the scheme, including the following images, which I have downloaded from their website:<br />
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiXLWTZRLged1xJuoUWdfo60woTqPSgn_ABoineu-4IigpyC2mh5KRaOZuuB49uxhb90brYDmmUb3Cvc9OmwxUfv7yuVIBxHOUb2fMuM04Uw5SRG4LJcn6fp15b4oqPOeI-KW0C3a-diE8f/s1600/LadywellPopUpHousing1.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiXLWTZRLged1xJuoUWdfo60woTqPSgn_ABoineu-4IigpyC2mh5KRaOZuuB49uxhb90brYDmmUb3Cvc9OmwxUfv7yuVIBxHOUb2fMuM04Uw5SRG4LJcn6fp15b4oqPOeI-KW0C3a-diE8f/s1600/LadywellPopUpHousing1.jpg" height="168" width="320" /></a></div>
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhbmEUUeLQqwgObgcd3ZnBidSbV80S9ATTmCZJz0xHgHfR-wWpoJt35jU_7y-0i8FKPYl5LuDLF3VOO_3ZrCihcmpEm7qmpoOmikqpEzBjRzUK2ZMpOEYYSiqS5-EGL4doZSsIuE76lBkDh/s1600/LadywellPopUpHousing2.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhbmEUUeLQqwgObgcd3ZnBidSbV80S9ATTmCZJz0xHgHfR-wWpoJt35jU_7y-0i8FKPYl5LuDLF3VOO_3ZrCihcmpEm7qmpoOmikqpEzBjRzUK2ZMpOEYYSiqS5-EGL4doZSsIuE76lBkDh/s1600/LadywellPopUpHousing2.jpg" height="168" width="320" /></a></div>
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhTvsrYhV_pLaDAJoVTOVNqR_t7rEnb2HTW7fhTpVkU6nausoWSfAR61W7oOrFUGsW19NcTPolu3yJB6WGwUR02IY7T4TkT281SeB_vLar9V_OaTQ-T8ZPKDWpmJ4ZfTZx7wSOXEGRoNjHQ/s1600/LadywellPopUpHousing3.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhTvsrYhV_pLaDAJoVTOVNqR_t7rEnb2HTW7fhTpVkU6nausoWSfAR61W7oOrFUGsW19NcTPolu3yJB6WGwUR02IY7T4TkT281SeB_vLar9V_OaTQ-T8ZPKDWpmJ4ZfTZx7wSOXEGRoNjHQ/s1600/LadywellPopUpHousing3.jpg" height="168" width="320" /></a></div>
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The units are constructed off site, which means that the first residential units could occupied by late summer. The units can also be taken down and used elsewhere, hence the term "pop up", which I hate with a passion, by the way. You can <a href="http://www.lewisham.gov.uk/inmyarea/events/Pages/Event-info.aspx?eventid=4750&recurrenceid=24%2F01%2F2015+14%3A00%3A00&source=%2Fmyservices%2Flibraries%2Fwhatson%2FPages%2Fdefault.aspx" target="_blank">meet the architects</a> on January 24th, at Lewisham library between 2 and 4pm.<br />
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It might not have escaped your attention that this is essentially pre-fabricated housing. I wonder why the council have shied away from using the term prefab? Could it be because it has authorised the demolition of the <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Excalibur_Estate" target="_blank">Excalibur prefab estate</a>, which provided 187 two bedroom houses on its site in Catford? These houses were intended to last 10 years, but a large number still stand today.<br />
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However, the demolition has begun and in December I took a wander round the site to see what it looks like now.<br />
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A large part is boarded up, with signs like this at the gates.<br />
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhr3PTrAcQ8AukiTrBFoz6YHpYTj1OGIbv16-PAUXMoPXPZBV3AMuJZNpZehe3dHwcmas5IjOkl_j9n5_6AciPLShZ3mYWYkMSUaFuEMsUFyVYKSnzuC0jjv1Cqqlb01ZyIglgfrxrQfsag/s1600/Demolished+(4).jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhr3PTrAcQ8AukiTrBFoz6YHpYTj1OGIbv16-PAUXMoPXPZBV3AMuJZNpZehe3dHwcmas5IjOkl_j9n5_6AciPLShZ3mYWYkMSUaFuEMsUFyVYKSnzuC0jjv1Cqqlb01ZyIglgfrxrQfsag/s1600/Demolished+(4).jpg" height="240" width="320" /></a></div>
Peer through the gates and this is what now remains:<br />
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEie0jznNYAodwLLLCoKKaPWS6qzmI69jcTYCz_dxV6UQNX2Hav2N04b9Y1R1dyyA84HHb47wU7h-IjxCwEd6XhLJaPBs3nMvqF-y0SvL-uTShAExZxCdnJU9zgJdF5WvYJa99gV3SPUgkTy/s1600/Demolished+(5).jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEie0jznNYAodwLLLCoKKaPWS6qzmI69jcTYCz_dxV6UQNX2Hav2N04b9Y1R1dyyA84HHb47wU7h-IjxCwEd6XhLJaPBs3nMvqF-y0SvL-uTShAExZxCdnJU9zgJdF5WvYJa99gV3SPUgkTy/s1600/Demolished+(5).jpg" height="240" width="320" /></a></div>
This was Mordred/Wentland/Ector Roads, which once looked like this:<br />
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhNSuGd2HjtUuMSAqn3Jhwh-I8cqCf7FivT_SMHTHSyIeHMR9JF-zxZ3C2UJawDR9T5j-cY-27BUQSuLg36GArJBZgdLRh01OfzQUImde6doeiSl6MspGEcoTTBT2rI2ZEDhm9iDRLj0cdp/s1600/Wentland+Rd+SE6.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhNSuGd2HjtUuMSAqn3Jhwh-I8cqCf7FivT_SMHTHSyIeHMR9JF-zxZ3C2UJawDR9T5j-cY-27BUQSuLg36GArJBZgdLRh01OfzQUImde6doeiSl6MspGEcoTTBT2rI2ZEDhm9iDRLj0cdp/s1600/Wentland+Rd+SE6.jpg" height="213" width="320" /></a></div>
It looks very eerie now, with the lampposts and telegraph poles the only hints as to what was there.<br />
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi5i0gSLkJIwYCaYodW_ta4zzbJhHOunhznyWtoEh74hktOrVYHNxdyH74CVEDSftTF_jQDK60Yuc-7s6p7vOSB9UnmE7qPPo4x9LtzSClTIK6Y25PCq1_ZPdijIwaIJBFmnx53wog_9P4E/s1600/Demolished+(1).jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi5i0gSLkJIwYCaYodW_ta4zzbJhHOunhznyWtoEh74hktOrVYHNxdyH74CVEDSftTF_jQDK60Yuc-7s6p7vOSB9UnmE7qPPo4x9LtzSClTIK6Y25PCq1_ZPdijIwaIJBFmnx53wog_9P4E/s1600/Demolished+(1).jpg" height="240" width="320" /></a></div>
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj9GWgC8chsMKf9JoHyFc8S3paMPteCRvsXIgbJS82Yv4gw8okCw1L5YvtKDe7QCH6toUm7vc_uViDs-B6Ih1PiAbiWQ_cP9thoxiKD-bODNtTZLUnHn3dQ3r8_Fu0rH46kwGyhe9R9YML0/s1600/Demolished.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj9GWgC8chsMKf9JoHyFc8S3paMPteCRvsXIgbJS82Yv4gw8okCw1L5YvtKDe7QCH6toUm7vc_uViDs-B6Ih1PiAbiWQ_cP9thoxiKD-bODNtTZLUnHn3dQ3r8_Fu0rH46kwGyhe9R9YML0/s1600/Demolished.jpg" height="240" width="320" /></a></div>
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The former <a href="https://www.kickstarter.com/projects/1413215915/the-prefab-museum" target="_blank">prefab museum</a> is in a sorry state after last year's fire:<br />
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi9tLfmHOUiHSYte0JGBubKwWQJ2oIrfBciXsu3hyoN5OnfVGTTG5bSpnD6HuF3KV_34X7JKM4Knq0JMCFomen-QD5HJB07P9rH0WWoWxjlF3o20RotgSdTtu0LxRF4tMPCvNkSy3dV6hjP/s1600/Former+Prefab+Museum+(1).jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi9tLfmHOUiHSYte0JGBubKwWQJ2oIrfBciXsu3hyoN5OnfVGTTG5bSpnD6HuF3KV_34X7JKM4Knq0JMCFomen-QD5HJB07P9rH0WWoWxjlF3o20RotgSdTtu0LxRF4tMPCvNkSy3dV6hjP/s1600/Former+Prefab+Museum+(1).jpg" height="240" width="320" /></a></div>
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgrQxdFNa8DaeJLANLS_j0cc7wYnn4nEkZDICgEPAnD7vf-Y5xkphQI4bFpdeyvZZFNqqGP6m3TqpvcPRns-HDV1yRfow1zZuK7VSl9tTPcvJ5jfuRwaDLUZuhwdpOs4WW1DToIr25khSHF/s1600/Former+Prefab+Museum+(2).jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgrQxdFNa8DaeJLANLS_j0cc7wYnn4nEkZDICgEPAnD7vf-Y5xkphQI4bFpdeyvZZFNqqGP6m3TqpvcPRns-HDV1yRfow1zZuK7VSl9tTPcvJ5jfuRwaDLUZuhwdpOs4WW1DToIr25khSHF/s1600/Former+Prefab+Museum+(2).jpg" height="240" width="320" /></a></div>
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEheQW6n0-aX_BJ7ejUphoSACqKinqryFK1WhQA1l4E351mks0CnCZ6nmAEq1ifaSjBTt5kZzPUurCiKJELS9BcGUGBiJCvGygLOyx8JXWHe4B7MmFLdfsvv4RA2UDmrPGZMCdVW724xMHog/s1600/Former+Prefab+Museum.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEheQW6n0-aX_BJ7ejUphoSACqKinqryFK1WhQA1l4E351mks0CnCZ6nmAEq1ifaSjBTt5kZzPUurCiKJELS9BcGUGBiJCvGygLOyx8JXWHe4B7MmFLdfsvv4RA2UDmrPGZMCdVW724xMHog/s1600/Former+Prefab+Museum.jpg" height="240" width="320" /></a></div>
Though for the moment this artwork remains next door:<br />
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiiw4cvyEVZesY5TKQ8bqXGr9DPAX252l5DWRMNXOIFvcDmMitk8RiqoXVtdOQImzG0u5EWEKLlzfx3B-vCgy9xw78uGFvDoqrnTTMd365tfiA_msB6-1qsKt3u2mZNZ81z0XnRtVwkcoXA/s1600/Next+door+to+the+former+Prefab+Museum.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiiw4cvyEVZesY5TKQ8bqXGr9DPAX252l5DWRMNXOIFvcDmMitk8RiqoXVtdOQImzG0u5EWEKLlzfx3B-vCgy9xw78uGFvDoqrnTTMd365tfiA_msB6-1qsKt3u2mZNZ81z0XnRtVwkcoXA/s1600/Next+door+to+the+former+Prefab+Museum.jpg" height="240" width="320" /></a></div>
In December those behind the prefab museum decided <a href="https://www.kickstarter.com/projects/1413215915/the-prefab-museum/posts/1088137" target="_blank">not to look for a space</a> to reopen in one of the prefabs that's still there. I assume the money raised by the kickstarter will be used elsewhere.<br />
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Some of the prefabs still look well cared for, like this one did a couple of years ago:<br />
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgmXt5JIIXvYWb5s9S_1vYopqZX8EhJ2js2FkzuC_au1zjdhlRSPxUfSIHHSFb9vrwDLukTv8HxfPM3ew1LL0mSagFMDlKWCK3GbeAjoC_UquVV7l_DmeXlshuYXNy7jnPwtgxwHwrB9mcX/s1600/Well-loved+prefab.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgmXt5JIIXvYWb5s9S_1vYopqZX8EhJ2js2FkzuC_au1zjdhlRSPxUfSIHHSFb9vrwDLukTv8HxfPM3ew1LL0mSagFMDlKWCK3GbeAjoC_UquVV7l_DmeXlshuYXNy7jnPwtgxwHwrB9mcX/s1600/Well-loved+prefab.jpg" height="213" width="320" /></a></div>
but others look more like this:<br />
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh7Q0XVvvK5S9dBUc7S3_5EXPufD9KOaGOFSYObkPGapqkWdEDiVQwO2xSVSwQNCvHjcuGNA5CVahu-Aylq3LROfjBW1FZ5i5J3kpJmiTikx91uV6SZMaVFhE_PNX6DhWvIRuuO_1E2gQZL/s1600/340-365+Burnt+out+wrecked+prefab.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh7Q0XVvvK5S9dBUc7S3_5EXPufD9KOaGOFSYObkPGapqkWdEDiVQwO2xSVSwQNCvHjcuGNA5CVahu-Aylq3LROfjBW1FZ5i5J3kpJmiTikx91uV6SZMaVFhE_PNX6DhWvIRuuO_1E2gQZL/s1600/340-365+Burnt+out+wrecked+prefab.jpg" height="320" width="240" /></a></div>
Or this:<br />
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhtokk9T_ALsRhWuL_uQ-gimkC0kvXMxEfgbPm9xhJ0ZKhx2KIY5PIEtKkSdm24pmJ9DlTunG1Fz1WfAsM6-5XmJcke2-wG-k__rHrQrtSkrgAOOTKTjL7UF69ORHY0qUTXL9yayDfQADTL/s1600/Boarded+up+prefabs.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhtokk9T_ALsRhWuL_uQ-gimkC0kvXMxEfgbPm9xhJ0ZKhx2KIY5PIEtKkSdm24pmJ9DlTunG1Fz1WfAsM6-5XmJcke2-wG-k__rHrQrtSkrgAOOTKTjL7UF69ORHY0qUTXL9yayDfQADTL/s1600/Boarded+up+prefabs.jpg" height="213" width="320" /></a></div>
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<br />
But, never mind, shiny new pop-up housing to house less than a seventh of the families that could be housed here. Yeah! Way to go.<br />
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All my prefab pictures are on <a href="https://www.flickr.com/photos/clogsilk/sets/72157642629837185" target="_blank">flickr</a>. I will continue to document the estate's decline, whether the council want me to or not.<br />
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<br />Clare Griffithshttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13851313189672481904noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3340170275761793017.post-42346663376141653302015-01-14T14:14:00.002+00:002015-01-14T18:07:28.525+00:00Cleverly's Bakerloo bungle...<br />
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhtumnRCVL9VV3ek2azMLQnPk__gjcamqUEzwZULgUmN2DdqGwdqn9lbZ1v4QlWYMzQWaOTcMq0O4LpWgYHEU0-p_pRu_KV5vt1z1ZJwaE3EvTMAT3KmRLXBNXuujSZIS6h-2d8Egj8PW7b/s1600/bakerloo.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhtumnRCVL9VV3ek2azMLQnPk__gjcamqUEzwZULgUmN2DdqGwdqn9lbZ1v4QlWYMzQWaOTcMq0O4LpWgYHEU0-p_pRu_KV5vt1z1ZJwaE3EvTMAT3KmRLXBNXuujSZIS6h-2d8Egj8PW7b/s1600/bakerloo.jpg" height="400" width="282" /></a></div>
<br />
A bit late on this one, but it's still worth a mention. Despite the cries of joy around large parts of South East London at Boris's announcement of the proposed Bakerloo line extension, it seems there's one council that remains to be convinced - Bromley. I've been led to believe that Bromley council is refusing to get involved in discussions about the extension, possibly because of worries about losing the Hayes National Rail service. This seems to be borne out in the <a href="http://853blog.com/2014/10/01/lewisham-bags-a-bakerloo-boost-but-watch-for-a-backlash/#comment-41779" target="_blank">responses to the comments</a> on this <a href="http://853blog.com/2014/10/01/lewisham-bags-a-bakerloo-boost-but-watch-for-a-backlash/" target="_blank">853 piece</a> about the extension.<br />
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In the meantime, James Cleverly, the London Assembly member for the area, has asked a number of questions of the mayor about the proposals, and specifically their effect on the Hayes service. What interested me most was <a href="http://questions.london.gov.uk/QuestionSearch/searchclient/questions/question_277756" target="_blank">this question</a>: <br />
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<i>If the Bakerloo Line Extension goes ahead, what would be the effect on journey time for those travelling from Hayes to London Bridge?</i><br />
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It seems to me this question was clearly designed to get the response that journey times would increase. I mean, it's obvious isn't it, the South Eastern service from Hayes often goes "fast" to London Bridge, so a tube line that stops everywhere is clearly going to be slower. Right?<br />
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This is the mayor's response:<br />
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<i>Allowing for an average wait time of 3 minutes for a
National Rail train at Hayes station, the current total journey time from Hayes
to London Bridge is 41 minutes. The proposed Bakerloo line extension Option 1a
via the Old Kent Road would reduce the journey time between Hayes and London
Bridge to 35 minutes, delivering a journey time saving of approximately 6
minutes. Option 1b via Camberwell and Peckham Rye would reduce the journey time
to 37 minutes, reducing journey times from Hayes by 4 minutes via a change at
Elephant and Castle.</i></div>
<i>
</i><br />
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<br /></div>
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So, what this means in essence is that either option on the table would *reduce* journey times from Hayes to London Bridge, either by 6 minutes for option 1a and 4 minutes for option 1b, including a change at Elephant.</div>
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<i> </i></div>
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The mayor goes on:<i><br /></i></div>
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<br /></div>
<i>
</i><br />
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<i>This does not consider the additional benefits of enhancing
the frequency of trains on the line from an average of 6 trains per hour to at
least 15 trains per hour with the proposed extension. This means that Hayes
station could be served by a train every 4 minutes rather than every 10
minutes, more than halving the gap between services.</i></div>
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So not only would journey times be faster, they would also be more frequent, jumping from 6 trains per hour to at least 15!</div>
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<i> </i></div>
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And of course, the extension would provide a direct link right into Oxford Circus and beyond, another benefit over the current National Rail Service.</div>
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<i><br /></i></div>
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I couldn't find Bromley's response to the consultation on their website (you try finding anything on a local government website), but I did find their <a href="http://www.bromley.gov.uk/download/downloads/id/757/response_to_consultation_on_the_london_mayors_transport_strategy" target="_blank">response</a> to the Mayor's Transport Strategy from 2010, which sets out their concerns about the Bakerloo line:</div>
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<i><br /></i></div>
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<i>Whilst Bromley remains broadly supportive of this proposal
in principle, we would need complete reassurance that the Hayes Line’s current
connectivity to Charing Cross, Cannon Street, Waterloo East and London Bridge
would in no way be lost by such a proposal, prior to committing our full
support.</i></div>
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Surely, in the light of the response above, Bromley can see that the Hayes line would benefit from the switch over to London Underground, and that clinging to connectivity through a congested national rail link through London Bridge that struggles to cope with the number of trains it has to carry isn't benefitting anyone! Removing the Hayes trains from London Bridge and beyond would free up space for everyone else's lines, journey times from Hayes will still be quicker and Hayes would be better connected than it is now! I think that's what transport planners like to call a "no brainer".</div>
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Any Bromley residents want to follow this up with their council?<br />
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Update 18:00: Lewisham Council have published their <a href="http://councilmeetings.lewisham.gov.uk/documents/s33030/Appendix%201%20Draft%20Bakerloo%20Line%20Extension%20Response.pdf" target="_blank">response</a> to the consultation, which is worth a read. </div>
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Clare Griffithshttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13851313189672481904noreply@blogger.com2tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3340170275761793017.post-38623025181482541792015-01-07T14:28:00.001+00:002015-01-14T18:14:07.744+00:00Lewisham's borough-wide 20mph plans - a good news update<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiuUKB2-F6ZWWb8BktEBVZ2xZk70EiMbwOd_6ERkf1hwHeGtExK4X3j32gxHyy7oRj89K9boc-zY0TQ4Nt1Lz5DdhMOXXNrwQzCsSVpVtkqqvNmu-vEXFfkrxhQgCQWuWsmN7Wrsl6GuIIo/s1600/13889432111_a462a40a9b_o.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiuUKB2-F6ZWWb8BktEBVZ2xZk70EiMbwOd_6ERkf1hwHeGtExK4X3j32gxHyy7oRj89K9boc-zY0TQ4Nt1Lz5DdhMOXXNrwQzCsSVpVtkqqvNmu-vEXFfkrxhQgCQWuWsmN7Wrsl6GuIIo/s1600/13889432111_a462a40a9b_o.jpg" height="213" width="320" /></a></div>
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Not just an excuse to use this picture again, I promise...<br />
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At next Wednesday's Mayor and Cabinet (14th Jan), a paper is being presented for a decision on the plans for implementing a borough-wide 20mph speed limit in Lewisham. This follows on from the Labour Party manifesto pre-election which made it a Mayoral commitment.<br />
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The key decision <a href="http://councilmeetings.lewisham.gov.uk/documents/s33032/Boroughwide%2020%20mph%20speed%20limit.pdf" target="_blank">document</a> is on the council website, and the main thing to note is that the report is seeking approval from the mayor "for the proposed approach for the implementation of a 20mph speed limit on all borough roads, and proposes a programme of work covering the planning and delivery period between 2014 and 2017."<br />
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The report says that while introducing 20mph limits on 65% of the borough's roads has helped address a number of casualty hotspots, it's now time for a new approach focussing on addressing the inequality that now remains for vulnerable road users in the remaining 35%. They point out that often the borough's most disadvantaged people live closest to main roads and therefore would benefit more from implementing 20mph borough-wide, this ought to have the knock on effect of, eventually, reducing health inequalities by, for example increasing life expectancy of the most disadvantaged borough residents by more than the rest.<br />
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It's also now possible to implement 20mph zones more cheaply, since it can be done through signage and road markings, rather than through physical measures. This would also mean that, eventually, the behaviour and attitudes of road users would change. However, the report acknowledges that signed-only areas aren't ideal where before speeds are relatively high and therefore other targeted interventions may be needed in addition in these areas, e.g. by engineering measures or by use of speed cameras.<br />
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The overall plan set out by Lewisham is as follows (copied from the report):<br />
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1. Agree overall approach, governance and funding (Dec 2014) <i>(presumably this is now Jan 15)</i><br />
<i><br /></i>
2. Data collection of speeds/ analysis of data (six months from Jan 15 - June 15).<br />
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3. Consultation with key stakeholders such as the emergency services, TfL, and neighbouring authorities - Police are likely to object to the borough wide implementation initially as some roads may not be suitable without traffic calming to ensure self-enforcing compliance. We will work closely with the Met Police to work out issues and resolve them so we can deliver a joined up approach and a successful implementation process throughout the scheme. (Jan 15 - Sept 15).<br />
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4. Review policy relating to the design of 20mph areas and the programme of work for the introduction of the limit. (Sep 15 – Mar 16)<br />
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5. Complete the required programme of work for Traffic orders and implementation (April 16 - July 16). This assumes minimal work on the ground at this stage.<br />
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6. Design options (interventions) to encourage\enforce compliance (May 17 - Oct 17)<br />
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7. Arrange formal consultation on compliance measures with emergency services and buses (Sept 17 - Dec 2017).<br />
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8. Carry out a widespread ‘hearts and minds’ publicity and public information campaign as part of LB Lewisham's new Road Safety Plan Jan 2015 to March 2018.<br />
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This means implementation will start in <b>March 2016</b>.<br />
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Lewisham intend on doing a publicity campaign around the introduction of the limit, focussing on fairness for all road users. There will be information materials (presumably signs) at borough entry points "making drivers aware that they are entering a borough that is committed to reducing casualties and making the roads safe for all road users."<br />
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The programme has been costed at £1.23m, and will be funded from council reserves.<br />
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The estimated breakdown is as follows (taken from the report):<br />
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I'm really excited that this is finally happening, and pleased to have played a tiny part in pushing the council in the right direction. Let's hope all runs smoothly and we finally get the 20mph borough we deserve!<br />
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<i>Update 18:15, 14th January: The Mayor approved the plans tonight, so hopefully it's all systems go! </i><br />
<br />Clare Griffithshttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13851313189672481904noreply@blogger.com6tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3340170275761793017.post-26025824111320406592014-12-29T21:23:00.002+00:002014-12-29T21:23:57.314+00:002014's top postsOK, this is utterly self-indulgent given I've only posted 25 times all year, but here is a run down of my top 7 blog posts of the year (why 7? Well, that's all I can get Blogger's stats to tell me....)<br />
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7. <a href="http://clogsilk.blogspot.co.uk/2014/05/pollution-in-lewisham-hither-green-and.html" target="_blank">Pollution in Lewisham, Hither Green and Catford; or why I am against the Silvertown Tunnel</a> (6 May 2014)<br />
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg04RnLjmuxRuNoBZgqz_uoGKES5q5-tKqkLz8zTa5d3sGPK-R8P0U0x3M5dZWur9ZPQkGf8LgZdHijKDDXAd3dwMJYOK7OmvHR3esKXW4X4lrdfzeuYCgM-0GBz19FfPoJhvT0-r6BGjJw/s1600/Screenshot+2014-05-06+20.06.56.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg04RnLjmuxRuNoBZgqz_uoGKES5q5-tKqkLz8zTa5d3sGPK-R8P0U0x3M5dZWur9ZPQkGf8LgZdHijKDDXAd3dwMJYOK7OmvHR3esKXW4X4lrdfzeuYCgM-0GBz19FfPoJhvT0-r6BGjJw/s1600/Screenshot+2014-05-06+20.06.56.png" height="220" width="320" /></a></div>
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Well, this one had to be in there didn't it? After all, it's something I've spent about half or more of all my free time on this year...<br />
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6. <a href="http://clogsilk.blogspot.co.uk/2014/07/the-worst-thing-about-cycling-in-london.html" target="_blank">The worst thing about cycling in London is...?</a> (11 July 2014)<br />
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgD2qVGgZZaWsPkBKkHAhglcmUSeZyWkYGb6leqXvQucwPIUKJXHZwnJawJZkujetEZ-9fd_AQnhzoFnimRqhy2Y_Ng_4f7cBTXKahL4VH6qj9lfC82VzkOwhC238aNKsaMLIIm7WxaRt9P/s1600/No+Cycling.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgD2qVGgZZaWsPkBKkHAhglcmUSeZyWkYGb6leqXvQucwPIUKJXHZwnJawJZkujetEZ-9fd_AQnhzoFnimRqhy2Y_Ng_4f7cBTXKahL4VH6qj9lfC82VzkOwhC238aNKsaMLIIm7WxaRt9P/s1600/No+Cycling.jpg" height="320" width="213" /></a></div>
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Another thing I bang on about all the time, and pretty popular on the blog too...<br />
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5. <a href="http://clogsilk.blogspot.co.uk/2014/09/update-on-catford-town-centre-plan-and.html" target="_blank">Update on Catford Town Centre Plan and the Catford Bridge Tavern</a> (17 September 2014)<br />
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEipOzYE9gvt5Ue5o5Q0fJoFuLlVPkMftN0FuEonjAyroSerdbgfJd-rYGunzzqrgOJ-oQ7Zm_rsHDhktORpQKW5a5vfhyphenhyphenkbmIUSibD6MPHly7cFFzCIAkfuz0_KHRF2wBAXveXJSn1Wnfrh/s1600/11350824445_6b9b7a7809_o.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEipOzYE9gvt5Ue5o5Q0fJoFuLlVPkMftN0FuEonjAyroSerdbgfJd-rYGunzzqrgOJ-oQ7Zm_rsHDhktORpQKW5a5vfhyphenhyphenkbmIUSibD6MPHly7cFFzCIAkfuz0_KHRF2wBAXveXJSn1Wnfrh/s1600/11350824445_6b9b7a7809_o.jpg" height="240" width="320" /></a></div>
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Lewisham council's first full meeting for over 6 months had lots of interesting stuff, not least on what the future might hold for the Catford Bridge Tavern (still closed but with work going on things look more hopeful than they did earlier in the year.)<br />
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4. <a href="http://clogsilk.blogspot.co.uk/2014/06/lewisham-councils-official-response-to.html" target="_blank">Lewisham Council's official response to my 20mph petition</a> (6 June 2014)<br />
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgSR178Iiaa-fMNxCX6FD4uJqWNgQSEW22WbTVXO1iZbuCnqJqnTeqE4ep2rexY-CqVzJZj_7Jwf-70gUrCtKtlYwRWHoh0YBh40X_EwsyYrBYgERXMknVcHgzbYd24aS0o5MfUGrlAIC0R/s1600/13889432111_a462a40a9b_o.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgSR178Iiaa-fMNxCX6FD4uJqWNgQSEW22WbTVXO1iZbuCnqJqnTeqE4ep2rexY-CqVzJZj_7Jwf-70gUrCtKtlYwRWHoh0YBh40X_EwsyYrBYgERXMknVcHgzbYd24aS0o5MfUGrlAIC0R/s1600/13889432111_a462a40a9b_o.jpg" height="213" width="320" /></a></div>
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I started this petition to get Lewisham Council to change their mind on making the whole of the borough a 20mph zone at the end of last year, handed it in around Easter time and received a pretty hopeless response in June. However, following the petition, it was made a Labour manifesto commitment that the borough-wide zone would happen. I must admit I need to follow up on just how far plans have got since.<br />
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3. <a href="http://clogsilk.blogspot.co.uk/2014/05/lewisham-council-election-results-2014.html" target="_blank">Lewisham Council election results 2014</a> - the detail (30 May 2014)<br />
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgZjnEwHmkiLM6UikA22yyvJNpzFye8wuuha19-me2tTcvMRYbnKQPG6cvckaXmkIEz9bnTlUyOzt4Grp-OBB-ThVxZbaPunq40ZA3QhB_e2Ve4frgi6q-Gzy_2d8w7XiTOE7M19CjO39tZ/s1600/share+of+parties+Lewisham.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgZjnEwHmkiLM6UikA22yyvJNpzFye8wuuha19-me2tTcvMRYbnKQPG6cvckaXmkIEz9bnTlUyOzt4Grp-OBB-ThVxZbaPunq40ZA3QhB_e2Ve4frgi6q-Gzy_2d8w7XiTOE7M19CjO39tZ/s1600/share+of+parties+Lewisham.jpg" height="210" width="320" /></a></div>
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It took Lewisham what seemed like forever to get their results online compared to other councils, and when they did they were in the form of a handy pdf... However, thanks to the efforts of the Lewisham Green Party typing the results from pdf into excel by hand, I was able to do a bit of analysis on them in this blog post. The big news of course being the complete melt down of the Lib Dems and the rise of everybody's favourite left wing party, People Before Profit. Not too much going on for UKIP, except on the very outskirts of the borough.<br />
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2. <a href="http://clogsilk.blogspot.co.uk/2014/03/how-likely-is-it-lewisham-council-will.html" target="_blank">How likely is it Lewisham will go 'all Labour' in May? </a>(13 March 2014)<br />
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Everyone loves a bit of speculation...<br />
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1. <a href="http://clogsilk.blogspot.co.uk/2014/04/lewisham-council-and-mayoral-election_25.html" target="_blank">Lewisham Council and Mayoral Election Candidates 2014</a> (25 April 2014)<br />
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And everyone loves a list. Election fever struck Lewisham this year then!<br />
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Any predictions for 2015?<br />
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Clare Griffithshttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13851313189672481904noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3340170275761793017.post-27624865851165612282014-12-23T16:03:00.000+00:002014-12-23T16:03:06.951+00:00Train services from Hither Green as of January 2015<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgp4YG_LB2_yXs3zc6YLqahb-SqcV3n9ZNxDGqMbWaqelo2qoLd2xSi71h5w5MttekWgH5fVoPzowayj3hJM0AYSUuQzT2Z1pXCrAvjrBmvZ3J9b_dut81zPZ9TULY444fWM_L9pzanL4qx/s1600/8574820289_cc376ae3cb_o.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgp4YG_LB2_yXs3zc6YLqahb-SqcV3n9ZNxDGqMbWaqelo2qoLd2xSi71h5w5MttekWgH5fVoPzowayj3hJM0AYSUuQzT2Z1pXCrAvjrBmvZ3J9b_dut81zPZ9TULY444fWM_L9pzanL4qx/s1600/8574820289_cc376ae3cb_o.jpg" height="212" width="320" /></a></div>
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Unless you've been hiding somewhere under a rock, it won't have escaped your notice that Southeastern train services are changing from January 12th 2015. It's all part of the <a href="http://www.thameslinkprogramme.co.uk/" target="_blank">Thameslink Programme</a>, known for amusement value as Thameslink 2000, designed to make everything through London Bridge run tickety boo and never ever late. This must be a good thing of course, but the whole thing is going to take years (it's due to finish in 2018) and the biggest disruptions start now.</div>
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To be honest, I hadn't really got my head round it at all, and as it's nearly January I thought it might be a good time to try.</div>
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I moseyed along to the Thameslink Programme website, which has a lovely feature where you can pick your station and see how the changes in January affect you. Brilliant. Right? No - all it does when you choose Hither Green is tell you your train operator is Southeastern (no, really?!) and direct you to <a href="http://www.southeasternrailway.co.uk/" target="_blank">their amazing website</a> for more info.</div>
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Frankly the Southeastern website is as confusing as it's possible to be, and has information on at least three different pages about the January changes, at least some of which I think is actually <a href="http://www.southeasternrailway.co.uk/thameslink/january2015/travel-advice/" target="_blank">wrong</a>. I decided the best plan was to download the timetable and sort it out for myself. Yeah right. For starters, to get services from Hither Green you need two timetable books. Then once you open them they are impossible to understand. I tweeted to that effect and got the following reply from Southeastern themselves almost immediately:</div>
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<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" lang="en">
<a href="https://twitter.com/clogsilk">@clogsilk</a> For individual journeys please use: <a href="http://t.co/pACqXEmz2g">http://t.co/pACqXEmz2g</a><br />
— Southeastern (@Se_Railway) <a href="https://twitter.com/Se_Railway/status/547329160767893505">December 23, 2014</a></blockquote>
<script async="" charset="utf-8" src="//platform.twitter.com/widgets.js"></script>
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Right.<br />
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OK then, off to the National Rail website for me. And this is what I have managed to ascertain:<br />
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<b>Morning Services to Charing Cross</b><br />
06:29 Hither Green [HGR] Platform 5 London Charing Cross [CHX] Platform 6 06:50<br />
06:38 Hither Green [HGR] Platform 3 London Charing Cross [CHX] Platform 2 07:02<br />
06:56 Hither Green [HGR] Platform 5 London Charing Cross [CHX] Platform 2 07:18<br />
06:58 Hither Green [HGR] Platform 3 London Charing Cross [CHX] Platform 1 07:23<br />
07:16 Hither Green [HGR] Platform 5 London Charing Cross [CHX] Platform 6 07:37<br />
07:19 Hither Green [HGR] Platform 3 London Charing Cross [CHX] Platform 5 07:44<br />
07:36 Hither Green [HGR] Platform 5 London Charing Cross [CHX] Platform 4 07:58<br />
07:39 Hither Green [HGR] Platform 3 London Charing Cross [CHX] Platform 2 08:04<br />
08:02 Hither Green [HGR] Platform 5 London Charing Cross [CHX] Platform 3 08:24<br />
08:15 Hither Green [HGR] Platform 5 London Charing Cross [CHX] Platform 3 08:36<br />
08:22 Hither Green [HGR] Platform 5 London Charing Cross [CHX] Platform 1 08:44<br />
08:38 Hither Green [HGR] Platform 3 London Charing Cross [CHX] Platform 6 09:03<br />
08:42 Hither Green [HGR] Platform 5 London Charing Cross [CHX] Platform 2 09:05<br />
08:55 Hither Green [HGR] Platform 5 London Charing Cross [CHX] Platform 5 09:20<br />
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09:08 Hither Green [HGR] Platform 3 London Charing Cross [CHX] Platform 1 09:32</div>
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09:16 Hither Green [HGR] Platform 5 London Charing Cross [CHX] Platform 3 09:37</div>
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09:37 Hither Green [HGR] Platform 3 London Charing Cross [CHX] Platform 5 09:58</div>
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09:42 Hither Green [HGR] Platform 5 London Charing Cross [CHX] Platform 3 10:03</div>
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None of these trains will stop at London Bridge. (Hip Hip Hurray!) </div>
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<b>Morning Services to Cannon Street</b><br />
06:46 Hither Green [HGR] Platform 5 London Cannon Street [CST] Platform 3 07:10<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-space: pre;"> </span><br />
06:49 Hither Green [HGR] Platform 3 London Cannon Street [CST] Platform 1 07:08<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-space: pre;"> </span><br />
07:08 Hither Green [HGR] Platform 3 London Cannon Street [CST] Platform 5 07:26<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-space: pre;"> </span><br />
07:11 Hither Green [HGR] Platform 5 London Cannon Street [CST] Platform 1 07:34<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-space: pre;"> </span><br />
07:28 Hither Green [HGR] Platform 3 London Cannon Street [CST] Platform 1 07:45<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-space: pre;"> </span><br />
07:32 Hither Green [HGR] Platform 5 London Cannon Street [CST] Platform 4 07:56<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-space: pre;"> </span><br />
07:49 Hither Green [HGR] Platform 3 London Cannon Street [CST] Platform 2 08:10<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-space: pre;"> </span><br />
07:53 Hither Green [HGR] Platform 5 London Cannon Street [CST] Platform 1 08:18<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-space: pre;"> </span><br />
08:12 Hither Green [HGR] Platform 5 London Cannon Street [CST] Platform 6 08:37<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-space: pre;"> </span><br />
08:32 Hither Green [HGR] Platform 5 London Cannon Street [CST] Platform 5 08:56<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-space: pre;"> </span><br />
08:50 Hither Green [HGR] Platform 5 London Cannon Street [CST] Platform 3 09:13<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-space: pre;"> </span><br />
09:00 Hither Green [HGR] Platform 3 London Cannon Street [CST] Platform 2 09:23<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-space: pre;"> </span><br />
09:19 Hither Green [HGR] Platform 3 London Cannon Street [CST] Platform 4 09:42<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-space: pre;"> </span><br />
09:28 Hither Green [HGR] Platform 5 London Cannon Street [CST] Platform 6 09:55<br />
09:49 Hither Green [HGR] Platform 3 London Cannon Street [CST] Platform 4 10:12<br />
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All these trains will stop at London Bridge (enjoy!)<br />
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<b>Morning Services to Lewisham</b><br />
06:38 Hither Green [HGR] Platform 3 Lewisham [LEW] Platform 1 06:42<br />
06:46 Hither Green [HGR] Platform 5 Lewisham [LEW] Platform 1 06:51<br />
06:58 Hither Green [HGR] Platform 3 Lewisham [LEW] Platform 1 07:03<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-space: pre;"> </span><br />
07:11 Hither Green [HGR] Platform 5 Lewisham [LEW] Platform 1 07:15<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-space: pre;"> </span><br />
07:19 Hither Green [HGR] Platform 3 Lewisham [LEW] Platform 1 07:23<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-space: pre;"> </span><br />
07:32 Hither Green [HGR] Platform 5 Lewisham [LEW] Platform 1 07:36<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-space: pre;"> </span><br />
07:39 Hither Green [HGR] Platform 3 Lewisham [LEW] Platform 1 07:43<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-space: pre;"> </span><br />
07:53 Hither Green [HGR] Platform 5 Lewisham [LEW] Platform 1 07:58<br />
07:58 Hither Green [HGR] Platform 3 Lewisham [LEW] Platform 1 08:03<br />
08:12 Hither Green [HGR] Platform 5 Lewisham [LEW] Platform 1 08:16<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-space: pre;"> </span><br />
08:18 Hither Green [HGR] Platform 3 Lewisham [LEW] Platform 1 08:22<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-space: pre;"> </span><br />
08:32 Hither Green [HGR] Platform 5 Lewisham [LEW] Platform 1 08:37<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-space: pre;"> </span><br />
08:38 Hither Green [HGR] Platform 3 Lewisham [LEW] Platform 1 08:42<br />
08:50 Hither Green [HGR] Platform 5 Lewisham [LEW] Platform 1 08:54<br />
08:55 Hither Green [HGR] Platform 5 Lewisham [LEW] Platform 1 09:00<br />
09:00 Hither Green [HGR] Platform 3 Lewisham [LEW] Platform 1 09:04<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-space: pre;"> </span><br />
09:19 Hither Green [HGR] Platform 3 Lewisham [LEW] Platform 1 09:23<br />
09:28 Hither Green [HGR] Platform 5 Lewisham [LEW] Platform 1 09:32<br />
09:49 Hither Green [HGR] Platform 3 Lewisham [LEW] Platform 1 09:53<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-space: pre;"> </span><br />
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Ooh lots of trains to Lewisham, exciting.<br />
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<b>Morning Services to Blackfriars</b><br />
07:58 Hither Green [HGR] Platform 3 London Blackfriars [BFR] Platform 3 08:29<br />
08:18 Hither Green [HGR] Platform 3 London Blackfriars [BFR] Platform 3 08:48<br />
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All new and exciting! Woo! (Not. The 07:58 replaces the 07:58 to Charing Cross). The 08:18 might be new though - can any train geeks confirm or deny?<br />
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<b>Morning Services to Victoria</b><br />
Aha ha ha! You're having a laugh aren't you? This will only happen if something goes wrong somewhere...<br />
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So there you have it. Everything you wanted to know about morning services from Hither Green into town on a weekday. For anything else there's <a href="http://nationalrail.co.uk/">nationalrail.co.uk</a>.<br />
<br />Clare Griffithshttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13851313189672481904noreply@blogger.com4tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3340170275761793017.post-46524503625246808092014-12-22T17:30:00.000+00:002014-12-22T17:30:01.496+00:00A date for your diary - Lewisham Bloggers' Meet - 30 January 2015<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj7JocRe01TleW1z3k3s7YGiz3Tba2ldyIfWA9GMvdR9fi4DxktMMFQ4tCVgwEFARGrb-GJ5aHyrrbJ7vNQvt-riVU1VWgAPHgDKl1vh5LRgiwJ7kNz49gz9dTcdBWh57ogItA_sIfWWW_v/s1600/2630188293_1055d965ca_o.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj7JocRe01TleW1z3k3s7YGiz3Tba2ldyIfWA9GMvdR9fi4DxktMMFQ4tCVgwEFARGrb-GJ5aHyrrbJ7vNQvt-riVU1VWgAPHgDKl1vh5LRgiwJ7kNz49gz9dTcdBWh57ogItA_sIfWWW_v/s1600/2630188293_1055d965ca_o.jpg" height="240" width="320" /></a></div>
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I know you're all thinking about Christmas, but here's a thoroughly non-festive date for your diaries in January. I'm afraid that in the best traditions, we are completely ignoring dry January, though feel free to stick to diet coke if you wish. Anyway, the detail...<br />
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<b>What</b>: Lewisham bloggers' meet up<br />
<b>When</b>: Friday 30th January, 8:30pm<br />
<b>Where</b>: Jam Circus, 330-332 Brockley Road, SE4 (nearest station is Crofton Park and the 122, 171 and 172 pass by the door)<br />
<b>Who</b>: You, if you are a Lewisham (or wider SE London) blogger or twitter person who fancies a beer and a chat.<br />
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Post in the comments below to say you are coming so we can book a table nearer the date.<br />
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See you there!<br />
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<span style="font-size: x-small;">(<a href="https://www.flickr.com/photos/55935853@N00/2630188293/" target="_blank">Photo</a> by <a href="https://www.flickr.com/photos/55935853@N00/" target="_blank">Ewan Munro</a> on <a href="http://www.flickr.com/" target="_blank">flickr</a>, used under creative commons license) </span>Clare Griffithshttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13851313189672481904noreply@blogger.com7tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3340170275761793017.post-6677160142008915322014-11-20T14:51:00.002+00:002014-11-20T14:51:48.945+00:00WAVES Lewisham events at the Deptford Lounge<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg4ydWHN4Em5Ec8wzd5z5-ONtOVWPCB2FYtwtH315wydI-3s9LAQAr90shK-zPUb9G2_VDMS6lM4D7v4YSFfGDvUwhMklSadAT6I25zChtZXTtmky3rFtQA_6DQbX8aRAwcVxh8bhDPB-Z_/s1600/8682471926_f75d896d88_o.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg4ydWHN4Em5Ec8wzd5z5-ONtOVWPCB2FYtwtH315wydI-3s9LAQAr90shK-zPUb9G2_VDMS6lM4D7v4YSFfGDvUwhMklSadAT6I25zChtZXTtmky3rFtQA_6DQbX8aRAwcVxh8bhDPB-Z_/s1600/8682471926_f75d896d88_o.jpg" height="192" width="320" /></a></div>
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To mark international day for the elimination of violence and women and girls WAVES (Women Against Violence Expressing Solidarity) are holding a number of events at the Deptford Lounge on <span class="aBn" data-term="goog_1206281947" style="border-bottom-color: rgb(204, 204, 204); border-bottom-style: dashed; border-bottom-width: 1px; position: relative; top: -2px; z-index: 0;" tabindex="0"><span class="aQJ" style="position: relative; top: 2px; z-index: -1;">29 November</span></span>. WAVES is an independent action-focused grassroots organisation founded to enable women to come together to support each other to make Lewisham a place where violence against women and girls is unacceptable, girls and women are safe and able to fulfil their potential. The events are:</div>
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<div style="background-color: white; color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 13px;">
<span style="text-decoration: underline;">The naming of the dead </span></div>
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122 women have been killed through suspected male violence this year. That's one woman dead every 2.49 days. At "The naming of the dead" exhibition one pair of shoes will represent each woman who has been killed by suspected male violence this year. This exhibition is a startling visual reminder of the number of women who fell victim to male violence - often by someone they knew or loved. (I donated some shoes for this exhibition myself).<br />
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<span style="text-decoration: underline;">Performers in support of women</span><br />
Local women Deanna Rogers, a spoken word poet, and singer-songwriter Lucy Cait will be performing with other presenters from <span class="aBn" data-term="goog_1206281948" style="border-bottom-color: rgb(204, 204, 204); border-bottom-style: dashed; border-bottom-width: 1px; position: relative; top: -2px; z-index: 0;" tabindex="0"><span class="aQJ" style="position: relative; top: 2px; z-index: -1;">3pm</span></span>.<br />
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<span style="text-decoration: underline;">The voices of male allies and library display</span><br />
A number of local men, including Mayor of Lewisham Sir Steve Bullock, have come together to take a stand against violence against women and girls. In a series of audio recordings by WAVES Lewisham called “The Voices of Male Allies” men talk about what they know about violence against women and girls and what they would do if they knew a man who was being violent or abusive towards his partner, girlfriend or wife.<br />
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The audio recordings will form Lewisham’s response to the #HeForShe campaign led by actress Emma Watson. They will also be played at the Deptford Lounge from <span class="aBn" data-term="goog_1206281951" style="border-bottom-color: rgb(204, 204, 204); border-bottom-style: dashed; border-bottom-width: 1px; position: relative; top: -2px; z-index: 0;" tabindex="0"><span class="aQJ" style="position: relative; top: 2px; z-index: -1;">22 November to 29 November</span></span>. <br />
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Kirsty Lowe, Co-Founder of Women Against Violence Expressing Solidarity (WAVES) Lewisham said: “Men can be uncomfortable talking about the violence and abuse of women, sometimes feeling they are being accused or held personally responsible for the actions of other men. WAVES has many male supporters and we wanted to capture them talking about men’s violence to show leadership in making the world a safer place for women and girls. We’d like more men and women to participate in the #BigLewishamConversation on twitter and in real life to explore how, as a community, we can work together to bring an end to violence against women and girls."<br />
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For those who cannot attend the events on <span class="aBn" data-term="goog_1206281949" style="border-bottom-color: rgb(204, 204, 204); border-bottom-style: dashed; border-bottom-width: 1px; position: relative; top: -2px; z-index: 0;" tabindex="0"><span class="aQJ" style="position: relative; top: 2px; z-index: -1;">29 November</span></span>, the audio interviews with male allies and a display of library books celebrating the lives and talents of women will be available at the Deptford Lounge from <span class="aBn" data-term="goog_1206281950" style="border-bottom-color: rgb(204, 204, 204); border-bottom-style: dashed; border-bottom-width: 1px; position: relative; top: -2px; z-index: 0;" tabindex="0"><span class="aQJ" style="position: relative; top: 2px; z-index: -1;">22 November</span></span>.<br />
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For further information please contact <a href="mailto:waveslewisham@gmail.com" style="color: #1155cc;" target="_blank">waveslewisham@gmail.com</a> or see their website at: <a href="http://waveslewisham.wordpress.com/" style="color: #1155cc;" target="_blank">http://waveslewisham.<wbr></wbr>wordpress.com/</a>, on twitter at @waves_lewisham, or on Facebook: <a href="http://facebook.com/WAVESLewisham" style="color: #1155cc;" target="_blank">facebook.com/WAVESLewisham</a><br />
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(Photo by <a href="https://www.flickr.com/photos/bitospud/8682471926" target="_blank">bitospud</a> on flickr, used with permission)</div>
Clare Griffithshttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13851313189672481904noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3340170275761793017.post-88124168283284181272014-10-17T10:01:00.000+01:002014-10-17T10:01:10.609+01:00Safer Brownhill Road<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEireBXEsKIA6sJBLMOpCjjz2fA3CZVk0Vs8uGw8MgB5iSRXjJ-PlnfO9KsbciR81ThjYi63MZZQOuQbH2ZCK7bunhhWHHqfvitb7Y9hvJE5ppnfyi-8KDLMl08x7Jg9xYXxd8jGBaIcauyL/s1600/IMG_1719.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEireBXEsKIA6sJBLMOpCjjz2fA3CZVk0Vs8uGw8MgB5iSRXjJ-PlnfO9KsbciR81ThjYi63MZZQOuQbH2ZCK7bunhhWHHqfvitb7Y9hvJE5ppnfyi-8KDLMl08x7Jg9xYXxd8jGBaIcauyL/s1600/IMG_1719.jpg" height="297" width="400" /></a></div>
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A quick post to draw your attention to a <a href="https://you.38degrees.org.uk/petitions/safer-brownhill-road-for-everyone" target="_blank">petition</a> that has been <a href="http://www.newsshopper.co.uk/news/lewisham/11526517.Girl_killed_by_lorry_on_notoriously_dangerous_Catford_road_prompts_residents_to_take_action/" target="_blank">set up by Natasha Clarkson</a>, a fellow Corbett Estate resident, asking for TfL and Lewisham Council to look at improving the safety of two crossings on Brownhill Road (also known as the South Circular) - one at Torridon Road, just up from where this picture was taken, and the other at Stainton Road.<br />
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Anyone who lives in the area knows Brownhill Road is a traffic nightmare (and it's also a <a href="http://clogsilk.blogspot.co.uk/2014/05/pollution-in-lewisham-hither-green-and.html" target="_blank">polluted one</a> as an aside), and crossing it is unpleasant and unsafe. There are no pedestrian crossings between Verdant Lane and Stainton Road, the zebra where a student was <a href="http://www.newsshopper.co.uk/news/11343117.UPDATE__13_year_old_girl_dead_after_being_hit_by_lorry_in_Catford/?ref=rss" target="_blank">killed earlier this year</a>. Trying to cross at Torridon involves waiting for the lights to change and then sprinting across before the cars get going again - not much use for people with young children, or the infirm.<br />
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<a href="https://www.facebook.com/profile.php?id=100004487115477&fref=ts" target="_blank">Natasha says</a> we need 1,000 signatures on the petition to trigger TfL to look at the crossings. It currently has just over 500 so please share it around!Clare Griffithshttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13851313189672481904noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3340170275761793017.post-62269458502078694252014-10-02T09:07:00.001+01:002014-10-02T12:03:37.975+01:00Bakerloo line to Catford? Yes please!<iframe allowfullscreen="" frameborder="0" height="500" mozallowfullscreen="" msallowfullscreen="" oallowfullscreen="" src="https://www.flickr.com/photos/lastrounds/15410278755/in/photolist-ptKGZi-ktmPLG-nyMySz-6kMrbc-6upZBa-naEdBH-nrSz49-nq7iLd-naEdHp/player/" webkitallowfullscreen="" width="375"></iframe>
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Unless you've been hiding under a rock for the last few days it won't have escaped your attention that there is a proposal on the table from TfL to <a href="https://consultations.tfl.gov.uk/tube/bakerloo-extension" target="_blank">bring the Bakerloo line to Catford</a>. I've completely missed the BREAKING NEWS bandwagon, but I can't let this go uncommented on completely.<br />
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Others have written lots about the detail, the politics, and how likely it is to happen<br />
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<a href="http://www.london-se1.co.uk/news/view/7867?" target="_blank">SE1</a><br />
<a href="http://diamondgeezer.blogspot.co.uk/2014/10/bakerloo-se.html" target="_blank">Diamond Geezer</a><br />
<a href="http://www.ianvisits.co.uk/blog/2014/09/30/bakerloo-line-extension-southwards-announced-again/" target="_blank">Ian Visits</a><br />
<a href="http://853blog.com/2014/10/01/lewisham-bags-a-bakerloo-boost-but-watch-for-a-backlash/" target="_blank">853</a><br />
And of course Brockley Central have <a href="http://brockleycentral.blogspot.co.uk/2014/09/bakernooisham-southern-extension.html" target="_blank">coined a natty new hashtag</a> for the occasion.<br />
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgcfQkxEnoAZ-oYdxs_7QK6ob3bMj-nrlunPFCtaiN4RMzcefY3fFHjYBawFir7ha9mBfdzdNReyA8U1kJIGQWu9Ji3gHpNMaFjeYlfXlk8QzF5mx0vHetc86hy3i8IQh9ES3tX7jUgcSS9/s1600/bakerloo.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: left; float: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgcfQkxEnoAZ-oYdxs_7QK6ob3bMj-nrlunPFCtaiN4RMzcefY3fFHjYBawFir7ha9mBfdzdNReyA8U1kJIGQWu9Ji3gHpNMaFjeYlfXlk8QzF5mx0vHetc86hy3i8IQh9ES3tX7jUgcSS9/s1600/bakerloo.jpg" height="320" width="226" /></a></div>
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I hear that Southwark Council is keen, and Lewisham are so keen they've launched a <a href="http://www.bakerlooextension.com/" target="_blank">website</a> and a petition (see below).<br />
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Of course, if you want something to happen, signing a petition, retweeting, liking on facebook, tweeting the Mayor and all of that are all well and good but TfL only really pay attention to consultation responses so for goodness sake <a href="https://consultations.tfl.gov.uk/tube/bakerloo-extension" target="_blank">fill that in</a> as well as doing all the social media stuff.<br />
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There are a few things that are undecided, such as the route the line would take to get to Lewisham, whether it will be extended beyond Lewisham, whether it will go to Bromley and so on. I hear Bromley council aren't keen to push this, so if we want to see the line come beyond Lewisham itself and into Catford, we need to be active about responding to the consultation ourselves and not relying on others. It takes less than 5 minutes to complete.<br />
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The cost of the proposed extension is £2-£3 billion, which is £1-2billion less than the Mayor's roadbuilding programme, all the more reason to <a href="http://www.silvertowntunnel.co.uk/" target="_blank">put a stop to that</a> and push on with this.<br />
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And we really need to incorporate the cat!<br />
(photo by <a href="https://www.flickr.com/photos/lastrounds/" target="_blank">Luke Agbaimoni</a>)<br />
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Petition:
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<iframe frameborder="0" height="1900" marginheight="0" marginwidth="0" src="https://docs.google.com/forms/d/1CiyOBLNzEDJ78YmYdTlmuGz7KN-mXCBSNQo7YubCERk/viewform?embedded=true …" width="400">Loading...</iframe>Clare Griffithshttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13851313189672481904noreply@blogger.com3tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3340170275761793017.post-83111698777615358472014-09-17T12:32:00.002+01:002014-09-17T12:36:57.638+01:00Update on Catford Town Centre Plan and the Catford Bridge Tavern<!--[if gte mso 9]><xml>
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<!--StartFragment--><span style="font-family: inherit;">It's a full Lewisham council meeting tonight - the first since February where the public have been able to ask questions. That's democracy in action for you. But anyway, that aside, it's a good opportunity to find out what the council have been up to on a whole range of issues. I asked a few questions, and have received written responses ahead of the meeting, which is nice and efficient and allows for planning of any supplementary questions I might want to ask. Unfortunately I can't attend the meeting, but that's another issue entirely.</span><br />
<span style="font-family: inherit;"><br /></span>
<span style="font-family: inherit;">I asked for an update on the plans for <a href="https://www.change.org/p/lewisham-council-introduce-a-borough-wide-20mph-zone/u/8178290?recruiter=33821030&utm_source=share_update&utm_medium=twitter&utm_campaign=twitter_link" target="_blank">implementation of the borough-wide 20mph zone</a>, and was told that detailed plans and a timetable will be submitted to mayor and cabinet in November. Watch this space.</span><br />
<span style="font-family: inherit;"><br /></span>
<span style="font-family: inherit;">Helpfully, the council also provide everyone else's questions and answers in one big document so I've been able to scan through those too. There were a lot of questions on the Leegate development and it seems the council plan to tackle these at a separate meeting, otherwise they'd never get through the rest of business tonight.</span><br />
<span style="font-family: inherit;"><br /></span>
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgC_bB02OmeV2TZZoWAjjnssamBSpeXLxKh5W7NxZMQUUtkpbi6p3Ui58HhgEfCkYUQuydVrARu1pSNvkZBqCan69SfSu05kDj3Xy6n7oZMto7MzictV6rnge7Y2bDEKJqCkmT6yBZI8h9C/s1600/11382091673_c8a5236e66_o.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgC_bB02OmeV2TZZoWAjjnssamBSpeXLxKh5W7NxZMQUUtkpbi6p3Ui58HhgEfCkYUQuydVrARu1pSNvkZBqCan69SfSu05kDj3Xy6n7oZMto7MzictV6rnge7Y2bDEKJqCkmT6yBZI8h9C/s1600/11382091673_c8a5236e66_o.jpg" height="320" width="320" /></a></div>
<br />
<span style="font-family: inherit;">But, onto the main purpose of this post. I asked a question about what is happening to the
Catford town centre plan (CTCLP) and how this plan relates to TfL's <a href="http://www.standard.co.uk/news/transport/mayor-sets-out-plan-for-22mile-ringroad-tunnel-under-london-9354896.html" target="_blank">inner ring road</a>
plans or <a href="http://www.standard.co.uk/news/transport/south-circular-goes-underground-and-brent-cross-to-get-flyunder-in-30bn-plan-8697628.html" target="_blank">plans to put the south circular in a tunnel</a>. Another questioner also asked about the Catford plan, and when it might be implemented (it was put on hold because of TfL's Roads Task Force (RTF) report). </span><br />
<span style="font-family: inherit;"><br /></span>
<span style="font-family: inherit;">The council had decided that TfL's long-held plans to relocate the South Circular behind Laurence House were unlikely to proceed and so set out a new policy that committed the Council to work on the Catford plan on the basis that this wouldn't happen. However, the July 2013 RTF report appeared to put these proposals back on the table, thus jeopardising the Catford plan. The council say that <i>as a result of the Mayor of London’s request it was concluded that there
was merit in re-examining the original TfL A205 road improvement proposals and
TfL agreed to undertake a study to investigate.
If, as a result of the study, TfL continued to support their original
proposals or some other third way then significant modification of the CTCLP
would be required. As the report was not expected until summer 2014 and then
would need discussion and consideration, the Council concluded that the best
option would be to withdraw the CTCLP from Examination.</i></span><br />
<i><span style="font-family: inherit;"><br /></span></i>
<i><span style="font-family: inherit;">An initial
concept report has recently been received in draft from TfL which outlines the
proposal. Lewisham Officers are currently reviewing the report and raising a
number of queries and are seeking a meeting during September with TfL to receive further
information to assist full consideration. The proposal focuses on Catford
rather than the wider south circular, and the Council is not aware of any
current work into the idea of running the south circular in a tunnel.</span></i><br />
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<span style="font-family: inherit;"><br /></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: inherit;"><span lang="EN-US" style="color: black; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial;"><i>Work </i></span><span style="color: black; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial;"><i>on the CTCLP is expected to resume<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>with further work carried out once the
results of the TfL review are evolved and worked through. </i></span><i>Once the TfL
review is worked through and work on the CTCLP resumes, the web pages will be
updated with any new information and timeframes.</i></span></div>
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<br /></div>
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<span style="font-family: inherit;">Another one to watch at this stage I think.</span></div>
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<span lang="EN-US"><span style="font-family: inherit;"><br /></span></span>
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<span style="font-family: inherit;">Another questioner asked about the Catford Bridge Tavern: "Will the Council use the full range of its formal powers and
informal persuasion to ensure that the freeholders and leaseholders of the
Catford Bridge Tavern restore the property to its use as a pub without further
delay?"<b><u><o:p></o:p></u></b></span></div>
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<span style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: inherit;">This was their answer: <i>The Council
has already used its planning powers to put in place policy to protect viable
local pubs. This is set out in the Development Management local plan.
Government legislation on ‘permitted development’ means that a pub use can
change to other town centre uses such as a shop, a bank, or a restaurant without
the need to obtain planning permission. These details are set out in the Town
and Country Planning (Use Classes) Order 1987 (as amended) and The Town and
Country Planning (General Permitted Development) Order 1995 (as amended).The
Council has a planning power known as an ‘Article 4 Direction’ that it can put
in place with the Secretary of State’s agreement to remove the permitted
development right. In the case of the Catford Bridge Tavern the Council has
already placed an Article 4 Direction on the property so the owners cannot
change the use to a shop or other use without first applying to the Council and
obtaining planning permission.</i></span></span></div>
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<i><span style="font-family: inherit;"><o:p></o:p></span></i></div>
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<i><span style="font-family: inherit;">In terms of
informal persuasion the planning service encourages owners and developers to
engage in pre application discussion on any proposals. To a large extent this
relies on the owner or developer making contact but if the Council is advised
of any proposal it will initiate its own contact. The Planning Service is
preparing a questionnaire on community uses within pubs in Lewisham and as part
of this work it proposes to contact the owners of the Catford Bridge Tavern to
enquire about the latest situation and encourage the reuse as a pub.</span></i></div>
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<span style="font-family: inherit;">Not exactly encouraging.... I personally feel that the council ought to be being much more pro-active in contacting people who might be interested in making this into a viable pub. I believe that <a href="http://www.theguardian.com/business/2014/jun/26/dilemma-tesco-lose-money-land-rivals" target="_blank">Tesco</a> are the owners. More pressure needs to be put on them to find a tenant to take this on. Given the <a href="https://twitter.com/John_Muldoon/status/511501243773378560" target="_blank">current situation</a> at the Catford Constitutional Club, maybe Antic would be interested. Although I think that, particularly as the dog track development starts in earnest, the town centre can easily support two high quality pubs! Seeing the CBT sitting empty does no good for anyone.</span></div>
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<span style="font-family: inherit;">Want to find out more about what the council are up to for yourself? <a href="http://www.lewisham.gov.uk/getinvolved/influence/councilmeetings/Pages/default.aspx" target="_blank">Ask a question</a> or get to a <a href="http://councilmeetings.lewisham.gov.uk/mgCalendarMonthView.aspx?GL=1&bcr=1" target="_blank">meeting</a>. They're going to be <a href="http://www.newsshopper.co.uk/news/lewisham/11468239.Lewisham_councillors_ditch_Catford_for_New_Cross/" target="_blank">out and about around the borough</a> so should be coming soon to a venue near you...</span></div>
Clare Griffithshttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13851313189672481904noreply@blogger.com7